Official Michigan and Arizona Results thread

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Please sticky this.

http://www.google.com/elections/ed/us/results

[Tender Branson]

When will I have to wake up ?

3AM ?

Are the polls closing at 3AM like usual in the Presidential elections ?

[Mr. Morden]

I believe poll closing times are:

Arizona: 7pm local time = 9pm Eastern
Michigan: 8pm local time = 8pm Eastern in most of the state and 9pm Eastern in the UP

So the state would start releasing results in Michigan after 8pm Eastern, but the TV networks won't release their exit poll topline numbers or call the state until at least 9pm Eastern.

[cinyc]

Arizona Secretary of State results by county:
http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/AZ/36496/71726/en/md_data.html?cid=105&

Michigan Secretary of State results by county and CD:
http://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/results/12PPR/12PPRall.html

[Lief 🗽]

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[Mr. Morden]

http://www.wjactv.com/news/ap/automotive/4-in-10-back-auto-bailout-in-michigan-gop-primary/nK7dG/

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What was the union number in the 2008 primary?

[Lief 🗽]

28% were from union households in 2008: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/index.html#MIREP (page 5)

[Free Palestine]

To the IRC!

[Eraserhead]

Maybe Obama will win the Michigan GOP Primary.  

[Torie]

It is unclear if this exit poll leak is adjusted for absentee voters.  If it isn't, Mittens must be happy.

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Oh, and then there is this below, suggesting that it was so adjusted, but how can you ask absentee voters how they voted in an "exit poll?"  Perhaps it was a combo of an exit poll and a telephone poll of some sort. Or perhaps it is just f'ed up.

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[Alcon]

What the hell does "exclusive exit polling of likely voters" even mean?  Are they concerned they accidentally polled some people who just happened to wander in and out of the polling place but forgot to vote?

[Torie]

What the hell does "exclusive exit polling of likely voters" even mean?  Are they concerned they accidentally polled some people who just happened to wander in and out of the polling place but forgot to vote?

Yes, that is another unfortunate use of wording isn't it, which leaves us in the dark as to exactly what the F this outfit actually did.

[Lief 🗽]

From the description it sounds like it's just a regular telephone poll.

[Torie]

From the description it sounds like it's just a regular telephone poll.

I suspect you are right. They just ripped the word "exit" off, the jerks.

[Yelnoc]

To the IRC!

Yeah, everybody get your asses in #atlasforum

[bullmoose88]

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John King: half of dems voting in the gop primary voted for rick.

Congrats Phil.

[Eraserhead]

CNN just announced that 50% of Democrats voted for Santorum according to their Michigan exit poll. LOL!

[J. J.]

http://www.wjactv.com/news/ap/automotive/4-in-10-back-auto-bailout-in-michigan-gop-primary/nK7dG/

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What was the union number in the 2008 primary?

That's a Johnstown, PA television station (that I've been on).  I'm not sure why they would do that story.

[Lief 🗽]

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[Oakvale]

To the IRC!

Yeah, everybody get your asses in #atlasforum

[Lief 🗽]

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[Alcon]

This is looking like a pretty Romney-friendly electorate to me so far...

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Looks like Rick Santorum got some "Operation Chaos" votes. I don't blame the Democrats, he is the easiest of the field to beat.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Where is Nym?

[Alcon]

Keep in mind that the exit polls estimate percent of early voters.  That 25% isn't much better than a rough extrapolation, even if the networks account for the fact that there are more poll voters to vote.