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| | |-+  2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)
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Author Topic: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)  (Read 77418 times)
J. J.
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« Reply #75 on: April 24, 2012, 09:02:31 pm »

At 59%, Kane is up by 8.  WOW!
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J. J.

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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #76 on: April 24, 2012, 09:10:45 pm »

Schuylkill's out of votes, and all of Northampton and most of Luzerne are still out, so Cartwright wins.
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Miles
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« Reply #77 on: April 24, 2012, 09:13:24 pm »

Critz has almost 52% with 88% in.
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J. J.
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« Reply #78 on: April 24, 2012, 09:14:05 pm »

Critz just pulled ahead with 88% in in PA-12.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
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« Reply #79 on: April 24, 2012, 09:15:10 pm »

Cartwright just declared in PA-17.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
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« Reply #80 on: April 24, 2012, 09:17:08 pm »

PA-12 @90% C 51 A 49!
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Miles
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« Reply #81 on: April 24, 2012, 09:19:01 pm »

PA-12 @90% C 51 A 49!

Well, I'm glad whomever loses at least makes a good showing.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #82 on: April 24, 2012, 09:19:02 pm »

Twitter reports that Altmire has conceded.
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J. J.
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« Reply #83 on: April 24, 2012, 09:23:34 pm »

Twitter reports that Altmire has conceded.

Critz has opened up to 4 points at 91% in.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Miles
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« Reply #84 on: April 24, 2012, 09:41:21 pm »

From DKE:

"...Critz's old portion of PA-12 is only 27% of the voters in the new 12th, but it accounted for 40% of the turnout tonight. That's some pretty amazing home-turf GOTV."
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J. J.
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« Reply #85 on: April 24, 2012, 09:56:29 pm »

Called for Critz and Kane.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Meeker
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« Reply #86 on: April 24, 2012, 10:10:58 pm »

Altmire basically did everything in his power to lose that race.
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Svensson
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« Reply #87 on: April 24, 2012, 10:15:47 pm »

Looks like the anti-incumbent bent has spread to the Democrats' field this year. I am quite alright with this.
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nclib
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« Reply #88 on: April 24, 2012, 10:40:03 pm »

Upon a little research, I see that Gladys Knight also has converted to Mormonism. That equals three black Mormons I know of (the third being that guy in Mali.)

There's also basketball player Thurl Bailey who played at N.C. State (my alma mater) and the Utah Jazz.

Wonder if Love's race will work against her in the general. In any case, she'd also be the first black female Republican in Congress ever.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #89 on: April 24, 2012, 10:42:24 pm »

The Kane margin is surprising.

 
Neither the 12th nor the 17th have been called yet. Is everything expecting those to tighten towards the end?

PA-12 is at 36%, with Altmire up 24.

PA-17 is at 49%, with Holden down 24.

Critz can close it, but I think it is over for Holden.

I can tolerate Critz/Altmire considering where they are.  As for Holden GOOD RIDDANCE!

That might end up as a GOP seat.

Uh, no. You don't know about the GOP nominee, I see...

Cartwright's margin is surprising, too. Altmire-Critz was pretty much dead on.
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The entire country is pretty much Republican.
J. J.
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« Reply #90 on: April 24, 2012, 10:46:04 pm »

The Kane margin is surprising.

 
Neither the 12th nor the 17th have been called yet. Is everything expecting those to tighten towards the end?

PA-12 is at 36%, with Altmire up 24.

PA-17 is at 49%, with Holden down 24.

Critz can close it, but I think it is over for Holden.

I can tolerate Critz/Altmire considering where they are.  As for Holden GOOD RIDDANCE!

That might end up as a GOP seat.

Uh, no. You don't know about the GOP nominee, I see...

Cartwright's margin is surprising, too. Altmire-Critz was pretty much dead on.

Tea Party, I see.  I'm not sure about how bad that will be this year.  PA-12 is also a possibility.

I loathe Kane, but Murphy was probably a stronger candidate in the General
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Keystone Phil
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« Reply #91 on: April 24, 2012, 11:28:09 pm »

J.J., I'm not just talking about her being a Tea Partier. I'm talking about her...
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The entire country is pretty much Republican.
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« Reply #92 on: April 25, 2012, 12:21:06 am »

Isn't it like a 61% Obama district? The only seat comparable to that the GOP holds is that one in Illinois where the guy barely won by about 3 points against a terrible three time loser candidate in 2010 in Obama's home state with his inflated numbers. So a Tea Party candidate even Phil thinks is terrible is clearly not winning districts like that, but this is J. J. we are talking about...
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« Reply #93 on: April 25, 2012, 12:27:38 am »

WOW@the geographic polarization. Holden won only two counties, Carbon and Schuylkill. But he got 85.4% in Schuylkill. In Lackawanna he only got 225 and in Luzerne only about 28%.

Schuylkill obviously probably won't vote for Cartwright in the general election, but the Democrats usually don't win it anyway. Better question is if this woman is going to appeal to Scranton.
« Last Edit: April 25, 2012, 12:30:46 am by blood red X's for every 24 hours ive suffered through »Logged

J. J.
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« Reply #94 on: April 25, 2012, 12:59:36 am »

WOW@the geographic polarization. Holden won only two counties, Carbon and Schuylkill. But he got 85.4% in Schuylkill. In Lackawanna he only got 225 and in Luzerne only about 28%.

Schuylkill obviously probably won't vote for Cartwright in the general election, but the Democrats usually don't win it anyway. Better question is if this woman is going to appeal to Scranton.

I don't know; something strange is happening.  Kane defeated the favorite, Murphy.  The "establishment" GOP candidate went down to Smith.  Is it still R +6?
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
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« Reply #95 on: April 25, 2012, 03:46:10 am »

WOW@the geographic polarization. Holden won only two counties, Carbon and Schuylkill. But he got 85.4% in Schuylkill. In Lackawanna he only got 225 and in Luzerne only about 28%.

Schuylkill obviously probably won't vote for Cartwright in the general election, but the Democrats usually don't win it anyway. Better question is if this woman is going to appeal to Scranton.

I don't know; something strange is happening.  Kane defeated the favorite, Murphy.  The "establishment" GOP candidate went down to Smith.  Is it still R +6?
The new PA-17 is Obama 57-42
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #96 on: April 25, 2012, 06:51:38 am »

Murphy wasn't exactly a favorite; Kane spent a ton of money and got Bill Clinton's endorsement.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #97 on: April 25, 2012, 08:25:43 am »

Critz just pulled ahead with 88% in in PA-12.

R+1.
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« Reply #98 on: April 25, 2012, 08:52:31 am »

WOW@the geographic polarization. Holden won only two counties, Carbon and Schuylkill. But he got 85.4% in Schuylkill. In Lackawanna he only got 225 and in Luzerne only about 28%.

Schuylkill obviously probably won't vote for Cartwright in the general election, but the Democrats usually don't win it anyway. Better question is if this woman is going to appeal to Scranton.

I don't know; something strange is happening.  Kane defeated the favorite, Murphy.  The "establishment" GOP candidate went down to Smith.  Is it still R +6?
The new PA-17 is Obama 57-42

Here's proof J. J. is trolling by deliberately being dense. Everyone who followed this in the slightest knows that the new PA-17 picked up Scranton and is far more Dem and thus pretty far from R+6, basically the inverse in fact.
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« Reply #99 on: April 25, 2012, 04:21:12 pm »

Lugar's getting increasingly desperate, throwing all sorts of mud at Mourdock in hopes that some will stick. Internal polling can't be pretty. At this rate I expect Mourdock to win by a narrow (3-4 at best) margin.


Any NC House primaries to watch for?
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« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard." - H.L. Mencken
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