2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA) (user search)
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  2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)  (Read 83575 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,798


« on: February 29, 2012, 02:51:10 PM »
« edited: June 06, 2012, 07:08:46 AM by JohnnyLongtorso »

Omnibus thread for this year's congressional/statewide primaries.

Check The Green Papers for who's running.

Calendar:

3/6 - Ohio
3/13 - Alabama, Mississippi
3/20 - Illinois
4/3 - Maryland
4/24 - Alabama (runoff), Pennsylvania
5/8 - Indiana, North Carolina, West Virginia
5/15 - Idaho, Nebraska, Oregon
5/22 - Arkansas, Kentucky
5/29 - Texas
6/5 - California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, South Dakota
6/12 - Arkansas (runoff), Maine, North Dakota, Nevada, South Carolina, Virginia
6/26 - Colorado, New York (tentative), North Carolina (runoff), Oklahoma, South Carolina (runoff), Utah
7/31 - Georgia, Texas (runoff)
8/2 - Tennessee (tentative)
8/7 - Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Washington
8/11 - Hawaii
8/14 - Connecticut, Florida, Minnesota, Wisconsin
8/21 - Georgia (runoff), Wyoming
8/28 - Alaska, Arizona, Oklahoma (runoff), Vermont
9/6 - Massachusetts
9/11 - Delaware (tentative), New Hampshire (tentative), Rhode Island
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #1 on: February 29, 2012, 04:57:32 PM »

For next Tuesday's Ohio primaries, the races of note are OH-02 (Schmidt has a primary challenger), OH-03 (Dem primary, open seat), and OH-09 (our first of several incumbent-on-incumbent smackdowns, Kaptur vs. Kucinich).
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2012, 06:55:35 PM »

Bumping because Ohio is tonight. AP results here.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #3 on: March 06, 2012, 09:54:49 PM »

Nobody seems to care, but Jean Schmidt looks to be in a bit of trouble; she's ahead 49-41, but her lead appears to only be because of the small rural counties that are mostly in.

Joyce Beatty narrowly leads Mary Jo Kilroy in OH-03, while Kaptur/Kucinich is probably going to be very close.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #4 on: March 06, 2012, 10:04:41 PM »

Republican wunderkind Josh Mandel is only getting 62% in his primary, against a bunch of nobodies.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #5 on: March 06, 2012, 10:34:38 PM »

Looks like Joyce Beatty will be the next Congresswoman from OH-03, not Mary Jo Kilroy.

Also, I don't think Kucinich has much of a chance at this point.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #6 on: March 06, 2012, 11:16:31 PM »

Kucinich is toast, and it looks like Jean Schmidt will narrowly lose as well.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #7 on: March 07, 2012, 08:29:00 AM »

So next week is Alabama and Mississippi. Not much going on, just some challengers to incumbents in AL-01, 05, 06, and MS-02. Parker Griffith, for some inexplicable reason, is running again in AL-05.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #8 on: March 12, 2012, 04:46:25 PM »

Bumping for tomorrow's AL/MS primaries. One of the Democrats running for the Senate in Mississippi is named Albert Gore Jr. Just putting that out there.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #9 on: March 12, 2012, 07:17:43 PM »

Neither of Bachus's opponents have raised much money. I wouldn't bank on an upset there, especially since there would be a runoff.


Thanks, added to OP.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #10 on: March 14, 2012, 06:40:05 AM »

And that was uneventful. No incumbents lost. Albert Gore is the nominee in Mississippi.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #11 on: March 17, 2012, 07:27:02 AM »

Illinois on Tuesday; most notable primaries are in IL-02, 08, 10, 12, 13, and 16.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #12 on: March 20, 2012, 07:36:26 PM »

Illinois results.

IL-02 is coming in quickly; Jackson, unsurprisingly, is winning this one going away. Early results in IL-10 are a tie between Schneider and Sheyman. Nothing to report elsewhere.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #13 on: March 20, 2012, 07:50:33 PM »

Pretty strong lead for Tammy Duckworth in IL-08, albeit with only Cook reporting so far.

Half the precincts in for IL-10; Schenider leads Sheyman 46-40.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #14 on: March 20, 2012, 08:08:31 PM »

Kinzinger/Manzullo looks like it will be comically polarized, unsurprisingly. Kinzinger is getting 79% in LaSalle.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #15 on: March 20, 2012, 09:01:28 PM »

Actually, doesn't look too good for Manzullo. He's only leading in three counties, and he'll need a big margin in Winnebago to pull off a win.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #16 on: March 21, 2012, 06:59:04 AM »

Jim Oberweis won the primary for a state senate seat.

Sixth time's the charm.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #17 on: April 01, 2012, 08:30:07 AM »

So, Maryland. The only real action is in the Democratic primary in MD-06, where wealthy dude John Delaney is looking like he might upset the establishment candidate, State Sen. Rob Garagiola. Delaney has raised over $2 million (although more than half is from his pocket), while Garagiola has only raised about a quarter of that -- Garagiola's finances are so bad that he "decided" not to go on the air in the closing days of the primary. On the other side of the fence, there are a number of Republican challengers to Roscoe Bartlett, but none of them look particularly serious.

Also, Ben Cardin has a challenge from douchebag State Sen. Anthony Muse, but Muse has yet to file any fundraising reports, so I'm assuming Cardin's not worried.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #18 on: April 03, 2012, 08:29:37 PM »

Yeah, so Delaney is winning MD-06 easily. Also, Anthony Muse isn't even breaking 20%.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #19 on: April 14, 2012, 05:20:26 PM »

Here's a map of the MD-Sen Republican primary.



I guess nobody had any idea who the hell they were voting for.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #20 on: April 21, 2012, 08:55:18 AM »

Pennsylvania next week. There are two Republican primaries of note: for the Senate, that Smith guy seems poised to win, as he's spent nearly $4 million, four times what everyone else has spent combined, and he had an internal poll out showing him winning by double-digits. In the House, there's a Republican primary in PA-04 (formerly PA-19) which is essentially the general election; looks like the two candidates to watch are State Rep. Scott Perry and York County Commissioner Chris Reilly.

On the Democratic side, there's the Altmire/Critz smackdown in PA-12, and Tim Holden faces a tough primary challenge from Matt Cartwright in the newly-Democratic PA-17. Also, the primary for Attorney General has former Rep. Patrick Murphy facing off against Kathleen Kane, a former Lackawanna County ADA.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #21 on: April 24, 2012, 07:53:17 PM »

Wow, early results are brutal for Tim Holden. He's losing by nearly 50 points.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #22 on: April 24, 2012, 08:27:45 PM »

Looks like Scott Perry will be the next representative from PA-04, and Tom Smith will lose to Bob Casey in November. Not looking good for Patrick Murphy for AG.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #23 on: April 24, 2012, 08:42:12 PM »

Why are you happy? He's going to be replaced with a more liberal Democrat.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #24 on: April 24, 2012, 08:46:48 PM »

PA-12 can't really be called until most everything is in, since the district is so polarized. PA-17 has tightened with more Schuylkill votes; it's down to a 56-44 Cartwright lead.
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