2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA) (user search)
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  2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)  (Read 84131 times)
Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 41,731
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

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« on: June 05, 2012, 03:49:18 PM »

Yeah, Feinstein is awful. I'd love to see a real Democrat win.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,731
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #1 on: June 06, 2012, 01:44:16 AM »

And here is why the blanket primary can be bad. CA-31 is considered a tossup, but the 4 Democrats are trailing the 2 Republicans.

http://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/us-congress/district/31

Meanwhile, the reverse is happening in the neighboring 8th district, which has a Republican incumbent:

http://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/us-congress/district/8
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,731
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #2 on: June 06, 2012, 02:52:40 AM »

And here is why the blanket primary can be bad. CA-31 is considered a tossup, but the 4 Democrats are trailing the 2 Republicans.

http://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/us-congress/district/31

Meanwhile, the reverse is happening in the neighboring 8th district, which has a Republican incumbent:

http://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/us-congress/district/8

There are Republicans in 1st, 3rd, 4th, and 5th there. Not exactly the reverse.

Looks like things have changed since the last time I checked.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,731
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #3 on: June 06, 2012, 03:18:02 PM »



Top Republican candidate for Senate in each county (percentage is of total vote for Republican candidates). The top Republican finished in second place in each county, although San Francisco was very close.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,731
Bangladesh


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: 0.61

WWW
« Reply #4 on: June 06, 2012, 03:42:36 PM »
« Edited: June 06, 2012, 03:45:06 PM by Χahar »

Here's another map of the Senate primary; this one shows which party received more votes overall. This seems to me to be a pretty reasonable baseline for Feinstein in the general.

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