2012 Non-Presidential Primaries Thread (6/12 - AR runoff, ME, ND, NV, SC, VA)

[mondale84]

With less than 1% in Kentucky, Obama is getting 64% against uncommitted and winning almost twice as many votes as Mitt Romney.

[mondale84]

Where is everyone getting the numbers?

[mondale84]

My father voted for Wendy Long for NY Senate. Upset over Turner? LOL

One of my best friends is a family friend of her's and she's working for the campaign

[mondale84]

BREAKING NEWS: ROMNEY WINS UTAH PRIMARY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[mondale84]

Wendy Long is wiping the floor with Bob Turner in NY...guess not a game-changer after all...

[mondale84]

Why did Long dominate upstate so much, when she is from the city just like Turner?

She's actually from upstate originally.

[mondale84]

31.9-31.6 Thompson. His Milwaukee County margin is dwindling with every report.

Gass: How important?

We need to see Waukesha

Do we want to take bets on when it starts reporting?

[mondale84]

Yep. This is 51.

Yeah, no.

[mondale84]

Uh, yeah. You have this, MT, ND, MO, and NE make 5 Republican pickups as opposed to 1 sorta-D in ME. Then you have FL/VA/MA, which are all 50-50. Republicans are more likely to take the Senate than not, 50.5-49.5. They need to win at least 1 of the troika of 50-50s -- statistically speaking the chance of any party winning 3 given 50-50 races is 12.5%. That means there's an 87.5% chance the Republicans take at least 1 of those 3 races, and, unless you quibble on something else, Republicans are very likely to take the Senate.

MT is still a pure tossup and so is ND thanks to your useless candidate Rick Berg. Also LOL at the idea that FL is 50/50.

[mondale84]

I agree with you that Mack is favored, but I though I'd give Nelson the benefit of the doubt. Polling in MT has pretty consistently shown Rehberg leading Tester and although Berg is indeed useless RCP's page on ND shows the same thing, though apparently Heitkamp's released lots of favorable internals.

SO much trolling it's hard to keep it all straight. Connie Sheen Mack is favored ?! HAHAHAHAHA Biggest joke of the day. Also, Rehberg has been 1-2 points ahead or tied, that's not even a lean. As for ND, Heitkamp is making it close and Berg is too scared to release his internals.