MA-Sen: Scott Brown leads by 5

[krazen1211]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Brown picking up 49% of the vote to Warren’s 44%.



A 3rd poll shows Scott Brown with a healthy lead! Outlier, outlier, outlier?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

No, he probably is statistically tied or a few points ahead for the moment, but both of the other polls were from dodgy outfits with untested or outright bizarre methodologies. This seems a lot more, uh, not fake than the other two, and it's probably within a couple of points of where things would in fact stand if the election were held today.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Far more believable that the morning poll.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=25120120229016

[Svensson]

Far more believable that the morning poll.

And you know something's up when a Rasmussen is less biased than your poll.

[DrScholl]

It's a Rasmussen poll, that's all that needs to be said. In a D+12 state, Brown is anything but safe.

[Miles]

PPP needs to poll here soon.

I keep voting for MA when they ask what state to poll next.

[redcommander]

I'm starting to think Warren is a very overrated candidate. I think it would have suited the Dems here better if they had found someone that had actually ran for office before.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I'm starting to think Warren is a very overrated candidate. I think it would have suited the Dems here better if they had found someone that had actually ran for office before.

Warren generates a lot of excitement but she's not great at running a sustained campaign. I think these sorts of fluctuations in the lead will continue for a while depending on which aspect of her candidacy is stronger when.

[nkpatel1279]

Warren should remind MA voters that her victory in November can prevent McConnell from becoming US Senate Majority Leader.
Democrats are likely to pick up ME(Pingree-D defeats D'Ambriose-R). Have a 50-50 chance of picking up NV(Berkley-D defeats Heller-R). +2D/-2R
Democrats are highly vulnerable in losing 3 to 6 of their seats.
NE(Kerrey-D vs Bruning-R) While Kerrey-D will perform better than a generic DEM nominee in NE, he will come up short due NE being a red state at the Federal Level.
ND(Heitkamp - D vs Berg-R) Same situation as NE.
MT(Tester-D vs Rehberg-R) Tossup with Tester-D as the slight underdog. MT is a red state at the Federal Level and Rehberg-R is a top tier GOP challenger.
VA(Kaine-D vs Allen-R),MO(McCaskill-D vs Akin-R),and FL(Nelson-D vs Mack-R) are Tossup of Tossup. McCaskill-MO loses,Nelson-FL wins,and VA is too close to call.
WI(Baldwin-D vs Thompson-R). If Thompson-R is the GOP nominee. WI becomes a lean GOP takeover.
The likely scenario is Democrats lose NE,ND,MT,and WI. Democrats hold onto FL,MO,and VA. Democrats gain ME. -3D/+3R. 50-50 Senate with a President Romney. or another likely scenario is Obama-D wins re-election, The Republican nominee in WI is Neumann-R. Democrats lose NE,ND,MT,MO,and VA. Democrats hold onto FL and WI. Democrats gain ME. -4D/+4R. 49D/51R with President Obama-D.  Democrats need to win the MA US Senate Race. 

[Earthling]

She should tie Brown to Romney. That will probably help much more.

[I'm JewCon in name only.]