Washington GOP caucus **results thread**
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Alcon
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« Reply #175 on: March 03, 2012, 07:43:19 PM »
Big new dump is great for Romney, and good for Santorum.  Strong Romney wins in Thurston, Clark, Benton and Kitsap, with Paul struggling.

Santorum may take 2nd here.

Paul nearly wins San Juan.
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bgwah
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« Reply #176 on: March 03, 2012, 07:44:15 PM »

updated
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #177 on: March 03, 2012, 07:44:57 PM »
From Google's latest results:

Romney 36%
Paul 25%
Santorum 25%
Gingrich 12%

Paul and Santorum exactly tied at 4203 votes.
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Torie
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« Reply #178 on: March 03, 2012, 07:46:02 PM »
« Edited: March 03, 2012, 07:47:55 PM by Torie »
Beat me too it, but because of the graphic I snapped ...



Doesn't this suggest that Mittens will break 40% when it is all over?  Say 42% as a wild guess?
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bgwah
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« Reply #179 on: March 03, 2012, 07:47:22 PM »
The % reporting is probably inaccurate. King County has small precincts (and a lot less Republicans), distorting the number a bit.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #180 on: March 03, 2012, 07:47:48 PM »
Not sure how that dump is good news for Santorum.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #181 on: March 03, 2012, 07:48:31 PM »
Looks good for Romney.  Looks good for Santorum to at least finish in 2nd too though.
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Alcon
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« Reply #182 on: March 03, 2012, 07:50:10 PM »
« Edited: March 03, 2012, 07:52:01 PM by Alcon »
We are at 31% of precincts reporting, and like bgwah says, King County has unusually small precincts with low numbers of Republicans (although, conversely, Pierce has big precincts.)

More at about 6 PM PT, sayeth GOP
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #183 on: March 03, 2012, 07:52:46 PM »
All the big Santorum counties still out - but so is King. Even if Santorum gets some solid results, it's not going to be enough to overtake.
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J. J.
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« Reply #184 on: March 03, 2012, 07:57:18 PM »
Quote from: Ben Kenobi on March 03, 2012, 07:52:46 PM
All the big Santorum counties still out - but so is King. Even if Santorum gets some solid results, it's not going to be enough to overtake.

It is starting to look grim for Santorum.
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Politico
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« Reply #185 on: March 03, 2012, 07:58:12 PM »
What are the odds that Paul and Santorum would get exactly 4,203 each with 22% reported?
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #186 on: March 03, 2012, 07:59:36 PM »
WA is crazy.

Santorum - 51 percent

Romney - 58 percent

Ron Paul - 52 percent

Santorum is in 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.
Paul is in 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.
Romney is in 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 2 percent out of 4th in Klickitat.
Gingrich is in 2nd,3rd, and 4th.

The only thing left is a county where Gingrich is in 1st, and Romney is in 4th.
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Reginald
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« Reply #187 on: March 03, 2012, 08:01:12 PM »
« Edited: March 03, 2012, 08:04:32 PM by Reginald »
Google has Kitsap at 100.5% reporting (186/185 precincts). Huh

EDIT: Never mind; it's fixed.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #188 on: March 03, 2012, 08:02:01 PM »
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Given an effective range of 5 percent? About 1/4k or so, for the exact match.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #189 on: March 03, 2012, 08:03:03 PM »
CNN's election coverage intro is more epic than a Tim Pawlenty campaign ad.  What are they going to do for Super Tuesday?
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #190 on: March 03, 2012, 08:03:54 PM »
I might be late to the party, but how is turnout looking compared to 2008.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #191 on: March 03, 2012, 08:04:42 PM »
Big. Up 30 percent.
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Torie
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« Reply #192 on: March 03, 2012, 08:14:51 PM »
« Edited: March 03, 2012, 08:17:31 PM by Torie »
Does each precinct select delegates to the state convention? Does each precinct have one delegate, or how are they selected? Is it first by the post in each precinct, or proportional, or what?  I read Green Papers, and these are the questions I had.

Are delegates to the national convention chosen proportionately based on the vote in the state convention?
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J. J.
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« Reply #193 on: March 03, 2012, 08:17:09 PM »
Quote from: Torie on March 03, 2012, 08:14:51 PM
Does each precinct select delegates to the convention? Does each precinct have one delegate, or how are they selected? Is it first by the post in each precinct, or proportional, or what?  I read Green Papers, and these are the questions I had.

At the convention, are delegates to the convention chosen proportionately?

I think these are delegates to a state convention that then chooses delegates to the RNC.
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Torie
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« Reply #194 on: March 03, 2012, 08:18:05 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on March 03, 2012, 08:17:09 PM
Quote from: Torie on March 03, 2012, 08:14:51 PM
Does each precinct select delegates to the convention? Does each precinct have one delegate, or how are they selected? Is it first by the post in each precinct, or proportional, or what?  I read Green Papers, and these are the questions I had.

At the convention, are delegates to the convention chosen proportionately?

I think these are delegates to a state convention that then chooses delegates to the RNC.

Yes, but I am more interested in the interim steps as outlined above.
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LastVoter
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« Reply #195 on: March 03, 2012, 08:26:11 PM »
Benton County(Where I'm from) proves it's country club Republican status once again.
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Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #196 on: March 03, 2012, 08:27:27 PM »
I'm not from WA, but why on earth is the state so polarized?
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Alcon
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« Reply #197 on: March 03, 2012, 08:30:25 PM »
King in, 52% Romney.  Strong Romney win in Pierce, too.

Paul now narrowly leads Santorum; he beat Santorum narrowly in both Pierce and King.
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Meeker
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« Reply #198 on: March 03, 2012, 08:31:49 PM »
Quote from: Torie on March 03, 2012, 08:18:05 PM
Quote from: J. J. on March 03, 2012, 08:17:09 PM
Quote from: Torie on March 03, 2012, 08:14:51 PM
Does each precinct select delegates to the convention? Does each precinct have one delegate, or how are they selected? Is it first by the post in each precinct, or proportional, or what?  I read Green Papers, and these are the questions I had.

At the convention, are delegates to the convention chosen proportionately?

I think these are delegates to a state convention that then chooses delegates to the RNC.

Yes, but I am more interested in the interim steps as outlined above.

The results today are from the non-binding straw poll, just like in Iowa and Nevada. There is a delegate selection process (which starts in the precincts and ends on the state level in a proportional to population fashion) that also started today. Paul could get some "ninja delegates" through this process like people say he may in other states as well.
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Alcon
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« Reply #199 on: March 03, 2012, 08:32:04 PM »
If you believe the report, it's only a quarter of King.
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