Washington GOP caucus **results thread** (user search)
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  Washington GOP caucus **results thread** (search mode)
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Author Topic: Washington GOP caucus **results thread**  (Read 16964 times)
Alcon
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« on: March 03, 2012, 05:34:12 AM »

The GOP LD leader for my area returned my call by apologizing for the delay, saying he was having phone trouble and was having difficulties getting a hold of the key for the caucus site.  It was 8 PM on the night before the caucus.  If this is at all representative, I expect great things.
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Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2012, 03:08:38 PM »

The results I'm seeing on Twitter look good for Romney.

Eastern Seattle suburbs "heavy for Romney"

Lakwood HS, Marysville: Santorum 96, Romney 89, Paul 68, Gingrich 36

Garfield City, Whitman County: Romney 24, Santorum 23, Gingrich 6, Paul 4

Reports from Tri-Cities of strong Romney support, little Santorum

Selah caucus in Yakima County split between Romney and Santorum

Mill Creek seems Romney/Paul split with some Gingrich and Santorum supporters
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Alcon
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« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2012, 03:11:59 PM »

Mount Vernon "good for Romney"

Various reports from Seattle saying Paul is winning

I've yet to see any areas reported as strong for Santorum

edit: The entire city of Mt. Vernon surely has more than 10 caucusers.  damn Twitter reports!
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2012, 03:21:54 PM »

Still yet to see a single report of a strong Santorum site, but plenty of strong Romney sites, and a few for Paul.

Sammamish (well-to-do Seattle 'burb) is "landslide for Romney"

Kirkland (ditto) "appeared evenly split between Mitt Romney, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum, although Newt Gingrich supporters were in attendance as well."

Belltown in Seattle: “This is pretty much a Ron Paul crowd,” he said. “Probably split between Ron Paul and Mitt Romney.”

SeaTac: "Paul supporters appear out in force, or at least have the most campaign apparel. Mitt Romney buttons dot a few coats. No sign of Santorum or Gingrich boosters."

Report of Romney win in suburban Everett

Bainbridge Island split between Romney and Paul, with many for Santorum too
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Alcon
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« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2012, 03:33:07 PM »

Spokane is supposedly good for Paul -- the Paul folks there allegedly have it together.

Otherwise, most of the Paul reports are coming from Seattle.
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Alcon
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« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2012, 03:50:49 PM »

Matt4RonPaul ‏ @MattWilliams06  Reply  Retweet  Favorite · Open
With #WA trying to make gold and silver coins legal tender in the state, the #WAcaucus should be all Ron Paul.
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Alcon
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« Reply #6 on: March 03, 2012, 04:19:34 PM »

I'm increasingly thinking that Santorum may lose this to Ron Paul.
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Alcon
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« Reply #7 on: March 03, 2012, 05:13:27 PM »
« Edited: March 03, 2012, 05:16:06 PM by Alcon »

Lord, Romney is getting slaughtered in Spokane:

"WA 3rd Legislative District Straw Poll results:With 21out of 22 Precincts reporting:Ron Paul 122, Santorum 52, Rom 44, & Newt 26."
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Alcon
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« Reply #8 on: March 03, 2012, 05:19:42 PM »

From somewhere in Whitman County, allegedly.  Too many votes to be a precinct; my guess is it's the Pullman caucus site.  I like "Willard"

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Alcon
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« Reply #9 on: March 03, 2012, 05:22:52 PM »

I don't think Paul is doing well enough in the suburbs to win, but even with his Twitter overrepresentation, I'm pretty sure at this point that he's leading Santorum.
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Alcon
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« Reply #10 on: March 03, 2012, 05:25:57 PM »

Yep Inks, I agree.  We also had one caucus site in rural Whitman County that Romney narrowly won over Santorum.  If that were Pullman's caucus results, that wouldn't be an especially amazing performance for Paul; it's a university town.

IIRC, "Uncommitted" won a couple of counties in 2008.  Would be funny if that happened again.


I haven't seen Uncommitted totals reported much so far, although that might explain the cryptic "Yacl" on the right end of the Whitman County paper.
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Alcon
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« Reply #11 on: March 03, 2012, 05:38:16 PM »

Twitter feed is now filling up with Ron Paul stolen election complaints.
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Alcon
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« Reply #12 on: March 03, 2012, 05:41:15 PM »

Apparently, the Bellevue-based 41st had a total turnout of 130.  These turnout reports don't quite gel...
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Alcon
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« Reply #13 on: March 03, 2012, 05:48:14 PM »
« Edited: March 03, 2012, 05:51:57 PM by Alcon »

Apparently, the Bellevue-based 41st had a total turnout of 130.  These turnout reports don't quite gel...

What is that - a precinct?  Is that high or low?

It's a legislative district, 1/49th of the state population.  That's about the same turnout as the Whitman County piece of paper, which may not have covered the county, which is only 1/175th of the state's population total.

And then Benton County allegedly turned away 10x that many people, even though it's only a little more populous than a legislative district...

Doesn't make sense.
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Alcon
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« Reply #14 on: March 03, 2012, 05:54:12 PM »

This is the biggest circus of the primary season so far.

The Washington State GOP hasn't even got started, my friend.
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Alcon
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« Reply #15 on: March 03, 2012, 05:58:34 PM »

If the 41st LD total was delegates and not turnout, that makes some sense...but Benton County turnout (or turn-away) has to be way overestimated.
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Alcon
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« Reply #16 on: March 03, 2012, 06:10:49 PM »

These look fairly legit.  Romneyslide.
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Alcon
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« Reply #17 on: March 03, 2012, 06:21:29 PM »

Besides Pacific being Uncommitted, Wikipedia also has Klickitat County as light blue, which doesn't correspond to any code...other than that, things look consistent.
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Alcon
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« Reply #18 on: March 03, 2012, 06:32:17 PM »

No idea how legit this is, but:

"With vote counted from 15 small counties, Romney is leading #wacaucus with 31.5%. Paul at 26.9%, Santorum 24.4% and Gingrinch 12.9%"
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Alcon
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« Reply #19 on: March 03, 2012, 06:36:24 PM »

hese initial results probably represent only 10% or less of the #wacaucus vote, WA GOP Chairman Kirby Wilbur says

Kirby WIlbur (@uw '81), the @WAGOP Chairman, is about to release initial #WAcaucus straw poll results. #uwelectioneye
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Alcon
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« Reply #20 on: March 03, 2012, 06:38:13 PM »

These early counties are overwhelmingly Eastern Washington, which means Paul is probably solid for 2nd and Romney is almost certainly the winner.
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Alcon
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« Reply #21 on: March 03, 2012, 06:39:53 PM »

Hearing that @MittRomney won in Cowlitz County... #wacaucus

One of Santorum's better opportunities gone, if true.
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Alcon
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« Reply #22 on: March 03, 2012, 06:42:22 PM »

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Alcon
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« Reply #23 on: March 03, 2012, 06:50:06 PM »

AP is reporting that Klickitat is Paul 81, Gingrich 61 (?!), Romney 58, Santorum 53
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Alcon
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« Reply #24 on: March 03, 2012, 06:52:52 PM »

Reports that Romney wins Clark County 37%-28% - blow to Paul's (low) chances
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