Washington GOP caucus **results thread** (user search)
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  Washington GOP caucus **results thread** (search mode)
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Author Topic: Washington GOP caucus **results thread**  (Read 16962 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: March 03, 2012, 11:27:33 AM »
I'm heading out to caucus in about a half hour. Does anyone know if CNN is covering the caucus or anything?
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2012, 01:42:43 PM »
My precinct is 2 santorum 2 Paul 1 Gingrich. Lots of Paul and santorum presence. I have not seen any Romney support at all.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2012, 01:51:24 PM »
Quote from: Lief on March 03, 2012, 01:48:57 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 03, 2012, 01:42:43 PM
My precinct is 2 santorum 2 Paul 1 Gingrich. Lots of Paul and santorum presence. I have not seen any Romney support at all.

Is that the number of delegates or the actual people there?

People. We haven't done delegates yet. We have two delegates so it'll probably 1-1 santorum and Paul.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2012, 03:04:54 PM »
Unofficial results of the combined caucus at the school I was at: 96 santorum, 89 Romney, 68 Paul, 36 Gingrich. Those are straw poll numbers. I am one of the two delegates for my precinct.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2012, 03:06:35 PM »
Quote from: bgwah on March 03, 2012, 03:05:36 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 03, 2012, 03:04:54 PM
Unofficial results of the combined caucus at the school I was at: 96 santorum, 89 Romney, 68 Paul, 36 Gingrich.

Is this Snohomish County or Cheney?

Snohomish county. Lakewood high school.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2012, 04:46:23 PM »
Does anyone know what time official numbers will start coming out?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: March 03, 2012, 04:51:35 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on March 03, 2012, 04:46:32 PM
Overwhelming turn out for...Mitt Romney? I guess there really is a first for everything.

He was the only one at my location without a single sign or anything. I saw no organization whatsoever for Romney and he got booed a ton when they were going through the question phase, yet somehow he got a narrow second at my location.

Santorum had by far the most signs, while Paul had by far the most "coordinators".
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: March 03, 2012, 05:06:35 PM »
If Santorum doesn't win, I'd much rather Paul did than Romney.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: March 03, 2012, 05:19:31 PM »
Random Whitman County precincts: 75 Paul, 29 Santorum, 27 Romney, 12 Gingrich, 15 Uncom.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: March 03, 2012, 05:27:11 PM »
Adding together all the explicit results mentioned so far:

Paul 580 (35.0%)
Romney 511 (30.6%)
Santorum 393 (23.5%)
Gingrich 148 (8.8%)
Uncom 36 (2.2%)
Other 1
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: March 03, 2012, 05:32:13 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on March 03, 2012, 05:25:57 PM
I haven't seen Uncommitted totals reported much so far, although that might explain the cryptic "Yacl" on the right end of the Whitman County paper.

It's "Und" for Undecided.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #11 on: March 03, 2012, 05:38:49 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on March 03, 2012, 05:38:16 PM
Twitter feed is now filling up with Ron Paul stolen election complaints.

'Twas inevitable.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #12 on: March 03, 2012, 05:42:08 PM »
Quote from: Assemblyman & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on March 03, 2012, 05:40:06 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 03, 2012, 05:38:49 PM
Quote from: Alcon on March 03, 2012, 05:38:16 PM
Twitter feed is now filling up with Ron Paul stolen election complaints.

'Twas inevitable.

Well, when you turn away 1000 people, you're gonna piss a lot of people off.  Though from a statistical standpoint, the distribution of the 1000 would hypothetically be the same as for the 2000 people that got in... hypothetically.

I haven't seen any evidence that the turning 1000 people away hurt Paul any more than anyone else. I doubt Paul wins in Kennewick anyway.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #13 on: March 03, 2012, 05:55:16 PM »
First results "expected at 3:30".
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #14 on: March 03, 2012, 05:56:42 PM »
Quote from: bgwah on March 03, 2012, 05:55:44 PM
We're getting reports of delegates from some areas, and actual voters from others. I'm guessing that explains much of the discrepancy.

That was a problem last time too.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #15 on: March 03, 2012, 06:05:02 PM »
Random other results

Ridgefield (Clark County): 107 Santorum, 106 Romney, 83 Paul, 42 Gingrich, 10 Undecided
Sedro-Wooley (Skagit) - partial: 31 Santorum, 27 Romney, 20 Paul, 10 Gingrich, 6 Undecided

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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #16 on: March 03, 2012, 06:05:36 PM »

The twitterverse. No guarantees, I suppose.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #17 on: March 03, 2012, 06:06:53 PM »
Official Yakima County results?

Romney 394
Santorum 252
Paul 225
Gingrich 136
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #18 on: March 03, 2012, 06:08:18 PM »
Skagit County

Romney 393
Santorum 202
Paul 170
Gingrich 162

No idea if these are accurate or not.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #19 on: March 03, 2012, 06:11:41 PM »
Romney won Yakima last time. Not surprising he won it again.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #20 on: March 03, 2012, 06:12:24 PM »
Quote from: Assemblyman & Queen Mum Inks.LWC on March 03, 2012, 06:11:25 PM
Do we have a feature on the site where you can do county map generation, or do you still have to do it with Paint/some other image editor?

Paint, unfortunately.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #21 on: March 03, 2012, 06:15:01 PM »
Quote from: Lief on March 03, 2012, 06:14:11 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 03, 2012, 06:11:41 PM
Romney won Yakima last time. Not surprising he won it again.

Where are you getting county results for the 2008 caucus? Atlas doesn't have them.

I have a spreadsheet with them, plus they're on the map in my primary megathread.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #22 on: March 03, 2012, 06:19:23 PM »
Quote from: bgwah on March 03, 2012, 06:18:13 PM
Here's my map from 2008, for reference:



Uncommitted won Pacific, I believe.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #23 on: March 03, 2012, 06:21:49 PM »
Quote from: bgwah on March 03, 2012, 06:19:57 PM
^ It's possible some of the numbers are out of date... Do you have a source?


This CNN link is ok, but it omits Romney's votes for some reason:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#val=WA
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #24 on: March 03, 2012, 06:22:35 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on March 03, 2012, 06:21:29 PM
Besides Pacific being Uncommitted, Wikipedia also has Klickitat County as light blue, which doesn't correspond to any code...other than that, things look consistent.

Pretty sure Klickitat was Paul country.
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