Come on, guys. The Santorum thing is over. Are you really going to leave me in agreement with JJ alone?
To be specific here, which Super Tuesday states, other than Georgia, do you expect Gingrich to get more votes than Santorum in?
Newt's talking point may be that after Tuesday, he has won more delegates so far than Rick, or they are close to even, and that in particular, on super Tuesday, Newt won more delegates than Rick. It won't take much of an uptick by Newt to make that claim, as the spreadsheet below illustrates. Right now based on the polls, and my guess in ND, and some other assumptions, Newt would be down by only about 35 delegates or so, and if he can keep Rick below 20% in Georgia, as the spreadsheet below assumes, may well even given the current status of the race, to make the claim that he won more delegates on Tuesday. So he has some reasonable chance of getting there.
Meanwhile Mittens will have an absolute majority of the delegates won so far, fattened by the fact that most of the un-pledged super delegates will go for him as well, which are not added to my totals.
Poll
