VA-Marist/MSNBC: Obama strongly favored to win

[Kevin]

This results can't be correct. Both Ras and PPP had number's out like a week ago showing the Pres only barely leading or tieing the Pubbies. It also doesn't mesh with what I've seen on the ground here for the past year or so.

[Kevin]

What, did they only poll Richmond?

If Virginia is close in November, how does Moneybags Mitt fare in Fairfax? How would Obama, on the flipside, do in SW VA (the Gore/Kerry-->McCain areas)

Watch for polls of states demographically similar southwestern Virginia -- Arkansas, Kentucky, Tennessee, and of course West Virginia. We have seen few credible polls from those states in recent months.  Should President Obama be picking up the sorts of voters who went for Bill Clinton in the 1990s but not for him while he holds onto the suburban voters that Republicans used to think his, then he is on the way to at least an Eisenhower-scale landslide.

The gains in Ohio could be among voters of that type -- the Reagan-Clinton Democrats. Who knows?  

Lol!