The Super Tuesday Results Thread
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Author Topic: The Super Tuesday Results Thread  (Read 35676 times)
Eraserhead
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« Reply #25 on: March 06, 2012, 12:35:54 PM »

Live feeds for CNN, MSNBC, Faux News, etc.

http://www.epctv.com/channels/CNN-Online-Watch-4758.htm
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #26 on: March 06, 2012, 12:53:25 PM »

I'm off, taking a nap for 6 hours.

It's gonna be a long night again for us Europeans, from 1am here to 5 or 6am in the morning ... Wink
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #27 on: March 06, 2012, 03:01:54 PM »

I won't be online at the time, but remember that the exit polling organization shares their data with the networks at 5pm Eastern.  (Any supposed exit poll leaks before that are certainly fake.)  At about 5:20 or 5:25pm Eastern or so, we'll probably start to get AP stories about early exit data, with useless stuff like what % of voters thought the economy was the top issue or something.  Then the TV networks start talking about the exits as well.  But none of the topline numbers will be out until voting ends in a given state.
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They put it to a vote and they just kept lying
20RP12
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« Reply #28 on: March 06, 2012, 03:13:10 PM »

Ron Paul may have a shot at Alaska and may have a shot at second place in North Dakota, Idaho and Vermont. Not too happy about it, but whatever.

He may also be able to pull off a second place in Virginia. Roll Eyes

Hahahahaha
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #29 on: March 06, 2012, 05:11:01 PM »

Any turnout rumors/hearsay yet?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #30 on: March 06, 2012, 05:14:55 PM »

This thread is jumpin'...

*crickets*
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Reds4
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« Reply #31 on: March 06, 2012, 05:15:34 PM »

This is my first time voting in this particular county and precinct in Ohio, but I was number 135 at 4:30 pm. I live in a rural county in Ohio. There were a few people coming to vote at that time... my guess is turnout will be fairly low, not ridiculously low, but certainly not high.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #32 on: March 06, 2012, 05:21:58 PM »

This is my first time voting in this particular county and precinct in Ohio, but I was number 135 at 4:30 pm. I live in a rural county in Ohio. There were a few people coming to vote at that time... my guess is turnout will be fairly low, not ridiculously low, but certainly not high.

Good news for Romney, the candidate of low turnout.
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Volrath50
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« Reply #33 on: March 06, 2012, 05:24:40 PM »

This is my first time voting in this particular county and precinct in Ohio, but I was number 135 at 4:30 pm. I live in a rural county in Ohio. There were a few people coming to vote at that time... my guess is turnout will be fairly low, not ridiculously low, but certainly not high.

Good news for Romney, the candidate of low turnout.

It might also help Santorum, if all the Romney voters decided the nomination was wrapped up and decided to stay home, like they did in CO/MN/MO. Those were also low turnout contests.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #34 on: March 06, 2012, 05:26:00 PM »

I was the only person voting in my precinct when I went, although then again I voted at 4:30 while most people are at work.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #35 on: March 06, 2012, 05:26:32 PM »

Get yo little selves in heeya;

#atlasforum @ mibbit.com
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #36 on: March 06, 2012, 05:33:26 PM »

Paul Begala just called Mitt Romney "gorgeous".
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #37 on: March 06, 2012, 05:41:47 PM »

White evang @ 71% in TN, 45% in OH both up from 08
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Volrath50
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« Reply #38 on: March 06, 2012, 05:44:14 PM »

White evang @ 71% in TN, 45% in OH both up from 08

That's good for Santorum. However, I have heard these early exit polls also have Santorum and Romney tied among self-identified conservatives. If that's true, Romney's going to win Ohio by a lot.

However, IIRC from some of the other exit polls, Santorum's voters tend to arrive late, so maybe that will help.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #39 on: March 06, 2012, 05:44:22 PM »

White evang @ 71% in TN, 45% in OH both up from 08

Good news for Rick and Newt (hopefully).
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #40 on: March 06, 2012, 05:45:32 PM »

White evang @ 71% in TN, 45% in OH both up from 08

That's good for Santorum. However, I have heard these early exit polls also have Santorum and Romney tied among self-identified conservatives. If that's true, Romney's going to win Ohio by a lot.

However, IIRC from some of the other exit polls, Santorum's voters tend to arrive late, so maybe that will help.

Where'd you hear that?
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Volrath50
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« Reply #41 on: March 06, 2012, 05:49:00 PM »

White evang @ 71% in TN, 45% in OH both up from 08

That's good for Santorum. However, I have heard these early exit polls also have Santorum and Romney tied among self-identified conservatives. If that's true, Romney's going to win Ohio by a lot.

However, IIRC from some of the other exit polls, Santorum's voters tend to arrive late, so maybe that will help.

Where'd you hear that?

Twitter, so take those numbers with a large grain of salt.
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ajb
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« Reply #42 on: March 06, 2012, 05:52:25 PM »

White evang @ 71% in TN, 45% in OH both up from 08

That's good for Santorum. However, I have heard these early exit polls also have Santorum and Romney tied among self-identified conservatives. If that's true, Romney's going to win Ohio by a lot.

However, IIRC from some of the other exit polls, Santorum's voters tend to arrive late, so maybe that will help.

Where'd you hear that?

Twitter, so take those numbers with a large grain of salt.

Everything about the first wave of exit polls is to be taken with a grain of salt. Not everyone's voted yet, so the exit poll is still going on, and anyway all the demographics will eventually be re-weighted to match the results.
I remember being burned by those first-wave exit polls in 2004!
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #43 on: March 06, 2012, 05:55:29 PM »

Hmm, this can't be good news for the Santorum-camp:

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Volrath50
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« Reply #44 on: March 06, 2012, 05:56:58 PM »

White evang @ 71% in TN, 45% in OH both up from 08

That's good for Santorum. However, I have heard these early exit polls also have Santorum and Romney tied among self-identified conservatives. If that's true, Romney's going to win Ohio by a lot.

However, IIRC from some of the other exit polls, Santorum's voters tend to arrive late, so maybe that will help.

Where'd you hear that?

Twitter, so take those numbers with a large grain of salt.

Everything about the first wave of exit polls is to be taken with a grain of salt. Not everyone's voted yet, so the exit poll is still going on, and anyway all the demographics will eventually be re-weighted to match the results.
I remember being burned by those first-wave exit polls in 2004!

Yep. I haven't taken early exit polls too seriously ever since President Kerry was elected in a landslide.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #45 on: March 06, 2012, 05:58:10 PM »

Wow, Ohio might be a slaughter. Hopefully Newt can do well in the south.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #46 on: March 06, 2012, 06:00:17 PM »

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #47 on: March 06, 2012, 06:01:53 PM »

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #48 on: March 06, 2012, 06:01:55 PM »

I suspect Santorum will lose by double digits or close to it if those numbers hold up.
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J. J.
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« Reply #49 on: March 06, 2012, 06:02:55 PM »

Santorum is at $0.20 on Intrade, if that is meaningful.  He's been dropping all day.  Mittens is hovering around $8.90.
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