The Super Tuesday Results Thread

[Politico]

It's over, but the media won't make it official until some point between now and midnight.

Congratulations, Winfield!

[Politico]

How will Rick spin this Ohio result? Will he publicly urge Newt to drop out?

Santorum is the only candidate to not finish above 40% in any state (unless AK or ND surprises), so why should Gingrich drop out? Gingrich nearly got 50% in the second biggest state tonight...

[Politico]

I'm very pleased with tonight - an upset in Tennessee would have been great, but still, it's going to be hard for anyone but Romney to spin this as a win. Hopefully it'll be able to hold him through till April 24th. It should.

Over 50% of the delegates tonight in a four-way race = ROMNEY VICTORY

[Politico]

How will Rick spin this Ohio result? Will he publicly urge Newt to drop out?

Santorum is the only candidate to not finish above 40% in any state (unless AK or ND surprises), so why should Gingrich drop out? Gingrich nearly got 50% in the second biggest state tonight...

Actually I thought Rick ran rather impressively everywhere relatively speaking - even in Georgia, where Newt's margin was pedestrian really. It was Newt who collapsed, which was TN was not that close for example. Newt was invisible in Ohio. In Mass, he got 4%.  

All we need from Newt is just enough of a performance to somehow get Mississippi and Alabama in the Romney column. If that happens, it would be the nail in the coffin. It would be nice. I do not think it is going to happen, but it looks more likely after seeing Tennessee/Oklahoma, and factoring in Newt's momentum boost from Georgia. There is a 10-20% probability whereas earlier tonight I would have put it at 5%.

[Politico]

No, 20,000 votes aren't very likely. It's about 5,500 now, and I can hardly see Cuyahoga more than doubling this. BTW, recent margin increase is due to a dump from Delaware.

I think this is more likely than 20,000 votes. Hopefully Romney gets at least enough to prevent a recount.

[Politico]

while everyone is obsessing about Ohio, Romney just picked up ALL of Idaho's 32 delegates

Thanks Idaho!  

I'll celebrate by eating an Idaho potato tomorrow night! Hopefully I can couple it with Alaskan salmon rather than Boston clam chowder...

[Politico]

All we need from Newt is just enough of a performance to somehow get Mississippi and Alabama in the Romney column. If that happens, it would be the nail in the coffin. It would be nice. I do not think it is going to happen, but it looks more likely after seeing Tennessee/Oklahoma, and factoring in Newt's momentum boost from Georgia. There is a 10-20% probability whereas earlier tonight I would have put it at 5%.

I wouldn't bet on it.  In Tennessee and Oklahoma, Mitt got less than a third of the three-man vote.  Alabama and Mississippi are unlikely to be any better for him.  So if Rick and Newt split the vote exactly, all Mitt will get out of it is an embarrassing third.

In Tennessee, take 10% from Santorum and give it to Gingrich and Romney wins.

Romney could have won Oklahoma had he visited and spent resources there.

I still think it is unlikely that Romney will win Mississippi/Alabama, but the odds have doubled or more after Gingrich's big victory tonight.

[Politico]

Gingrich is going to win almost 50% more delegates than Santorum tonight.

BTW, did Santorum robocall Democrats in North Dakota, Tennessee and Ohio?