The Super Tuesday Results Thread

[cinyc]

That's an awful start to tonight for Romney, but it can all be erased in Ohio. How many delegates are we looking at for Paul with 60/40 VA and 33/27 VT?

60/40 VA will likely end up giving Romney all the delegates unless Paul wins a CD.  VT is somewhat proportional.

[cinyc]

Looks like Paul has a shot at winning VA-03.

Paul is ahead in VA-03 (with very little in), VA-05 and VA-10 (barely), per AP.

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_cd/VA_GOP_0306_VD.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

SoS only has Paul ahead in VA-03 (with about a quarter in).

https://www.voterinfo.sbe.virginia.gov/election/DATA/2012/A64F1220-CC02-4DED-AB71-09E34ED36339/unofficial/1_d_A5DCD6FA-6694-4931-BBDB-D87E4356EC47_s.shtml

[cinyc]

Ron Paul won VA-03.  It's 52-48 with 91% in.   What's out is largely in Richmond, which has gone heavily Paul.

[cinyc]

Ron Paul won VA-03.  It's 52-48 with 91% in.   What's out is largely in Richmond, which has gone heavily Paul.

Woo hoo. So that's what, 4 delegates? 5? 6? 3?

3

[cinyc]

Cuyahoga is:
Mitt Romney ( REP )   28220
Rick Santorum ( REP )   17795

with about 60% in, according to the county's website.

That's a net gain of 3,441 for Romney from what the AP is showing.

[cinyc]

Medina is:
Rep Dlgt-at-Lg & Alt-at-Lg to Nat Conv    REP         
Precincts Reporting       85    
Total Votes       3119    
Newt Gingrich         480    15.39%
Jon Huntsman         17    0.55%
Ron Paul         250    8.02%
Rick Perry         17    0.55%
Mitt Romney         1213    38.89%
Rick Santorum         1142    36.61%

So Romney +71.

With about 60-70% in.

[cinyc]

Romney will win and by maybe 5,000+ plus votes unless Medina and Clemont surprise big time. The Hamilton dump put Mittens ahead, with a ton of votes still out in Cleveland.

As noted above, it's over. Boy, Mittens must have been sweating!

I posted results from Medina's county BoE website upthread.  It's marginal for Romney.  Clermont hasn't reported anything but absentees on the AP and county's website.

[cinyc]

Clermont will net Romney 892 votes overall when it reports, per the county's website.  That's a swing of 1068 from what the AP is currently showing, if I've done the math right.

[cinyc]

Ohio SoS website has Romney leading in OH-01, 02, 06, 09, 10, 11, 13, 14 and 16 - 9 of the 16 CDs.  Santorum leads in the rest.  Which CDs didn't Santorum file a slate of delegates for?

[cinyc]

Cuyahoga County with about 80% in:

Mitt Romney ( REP )   34658
Rick Santorum ( REP )   21620

That should net Romney another 2613 votes from what the AP is showing.

[cinyc]

Ohio SoS website has Romney leading in OH-01, 02, 06, 09, 10, 11, 13, 14 and 16 - 9 of the 16 CDs.  Santorum leads in the rest.  Which CDs didn't Santorum file a slate of delegates for?

If their OH-06 is the Ohio River CD, that strikes me as amazing. Are you sure? That is Santorum central.

That's what the Ohio SoS' website is showing.  It also doesn't even list Santorum in the OH-06 tally at all, placing Gingrich in second, so I wouldn't rely on it.

[cinyc]

Is it showing vote totals, or just calling the CD's? Maybe they called OH-06 for Mittens because Rick did not file any delegate slate.  If so, that is "unfortunate."  

It's showing vote totals:

President - District 06 (R)
Candidate / Issue   % of Votes   Number Of Votes
Romney, Mitt (R)   40.80%   26,572
Gingrich, Newt (R)   31.42%   20,461
Paul, Ron (R)   19.21%   12,511
Perry, Rick (R)   5.74%   3,738
Huntsman, Jon (R)   2.83%   1,840

AP is reporting the same erroneous numbers.

I don't know whether Santorum filed a delegate slate in that CD.

[cinyc]

About 90% of Cuyahoga, per the county website:

Mitt Romney ( REP )   37819
Rick Santorum ( REP )   23157

That nets Romney 4,237 votes from the AP tally, which hasn't been updated for a while.

[cinyc]

Revised Medina, per the county BoE website:

Mitt Romney         7447    40.80%
Rick Santorum         6374    34.92%

That nets Romney another 1,002 votes from the AP's tally.

No clue what percentage is reporting.  There are fewer precincts reporting than before.

[cinyc]

I'm not sure why the networks aren't calling it already.  Almost everything that's out is in a Romney county.

[cinyc]

Cuyahoga all in on the county BoE website:
Mitt Romney ( REP )   40881
Rick Santorum ( REP )   24852

That nets Romney another 4,420 votes over the AP tally, giving him a 10K lead, if I've done the math right.  It's only a matter of time until the networks call it.

[cinyc]

Additional Montgomery nets Romney another 534 votes.  That puts Romney's lead up to about 11-12K.  Fox News said the Romney camp is bitching that he's up by 12K and the race should be called already.  It seems like he is up about 12K with little left outstanding.

[cinyc]

AP tally has finally caught up with the county BoE sites.  Romney +12,000.  

This should be called.  What's left in Stark, Brown and Medina counties simply isn't enough for Santorum to make up the difference - even if all 3 counties were Santorum counties.

[cinyc]

CNN calls Ohio for Romney.

[cinyc]

Do we have any idea what is happening in Alaska or when we'll get results or anything???

Alaska's caucuses just closed 45 minutes ago.  They are more like primaries than caucuses, really, with polls open for 4 hours until 8PM local time.  No results yet, even on the Anchorage newspaper's website or the Alaska Republican party's website (which doesn't look like it will have results).

[cinyc]

OH-12 flipped back to Santorum with all in, giving Romney a 9-7 CD lead again.  That will likely be the final result.  It likely would have been 8-8 had Santorum filed a delegate slate in OH-06.

Edited to add: Or not.  The AP and SoS tallies differ.  It might still be 10-6.

[cinyc]

It will be tough to tell how Alaska is unfolding since we don't know where the votes are coming from.  The caucus sites were laid out on a Alaska House District level basis.  Too bad the AP isn't reporting results as such.  (One at large district was in Washington DC.)

[cinyc]

Why is the Idaho panhandle taking so long to report?

A good portion of it is in the Pacific Time Zone.  Perhaps that has something to do with it.

[cinyc]

Big Update:

Romney 2698 (33%)
Santorum 2418 (30%)
Paul 1691 (21%)
Gingrich 1263 (15%)

68% in

AP/Google has the same numbers with 31.1% in (on a precincts reported basis).  Who says 68%?

[cinyc]

Big Update:

Romney 2698 (33%)
Santorum 2418 (30%)
Paul 1691 (21%)
Gingrich 1263 (15%)

68% in

AP/Google has the same numbers with 31.1% in (on a precincts reported basis).  Who says 68%?

CNN

Could be 68% on a population-weighted basis.  The far-flung bush precincts have a history of reporting later.