The Super Tuesday Results Thread

[argentarius]

I wouldn't be too surprised to see Paul get 2nd in Tennessee.  Most I know here, including my manager at work, support or at least like Ron Paul.

In fairness that would take 2 spectacular collapses.

[argentarius]

Any idea why Santorum is 3rd on ND intrade? Surely he should win there, after all he won Iowa, Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado with worse national numbers. I would think it's similar to Iowa and Minnesota. Exit polls looking good for Paul in VT.

[argentarius]

That's an awful start to tonight for Romney, but it can all be erased in Ohio. How many delegates are we looking at for Paul with 60/40 VA and 33/27 VT?

[argentarius]

Looks like VA will have nearly all delegates for Romney. What a shame.

[argentarius]

What are Gingrichs chances in Tennessee? I have yet to see a poll from there and I have not been following the lead up to today as closely as I should have

IMO going into tonigth he was the second most likely to win, but I think it's out of reach because he didn't break 50 in Georgia. I think Santorum has Tennessee, because at the very least he's keeping Ohio close.

[argentarius]

Ron Paul won VA-03.  It's 52-48 with 91% in.   What's out is largely in Richmond, which has gone heavily Paul.

Woo hoo. So that's what, 4 delegates? 5? 6? 3?

[argentarius]

Ron Paul won VA-03.  It's 52-48 with 91% in.   What's out is largely in Richmond, which has gone heavily Paul.

Woo hoo. So that's what, 4 delegates? 5? 6? 3?

3

It's something at least. Very few people honestly thought he would get anything. It also makes me lol at Phil's comments a while back saying Romney would beat Paul 90-10 head to head, which was ironic because the keystone phil's seem to have gone for Paul.

[argentarius]

Santorum is widening the margin in Ohio. They must be opening up the mail and counting the votes.

[argentarius]

I think the absentees just broke big for Santorum in Ohio, putting him over the top. I think he'll win there in the end. I would say well done were it not for the delegate snafu.

[argentarius]

According to CNN in North Dakota w/ 6% in

Santorum- 52%
Paul- 21%
Romney- 15%
Gingrich- 11%

No county map though. I'd say it's a few rural districts in which the caucuses lasted 5 minutes.

[argentarius]

Santorum's lead in OH is expanding - it is a vote short of 12,000 now. Can be overcome, but it is getting big.

Oh Ohio, You're teasing us aren't you?

Most likely it is, because Cleveland and Cincinnati are still at 0% reporting and Columbus is only at 14% reporting.

That's an error. It's low but not 0.

[argentarius]

Anyone got a map for ND? Where did CNN get this good news for Paul from ND from?

[argentarius]

Intrade Alaska numbers only adding up to 80. Strange.

[argentarius]

Paul's moving up in ND, he's gone ahead of Romney by 3%.

[argentarius]

ND is very much looking like Rick 1, Paul 2, Mitt 3.

[argentarius]

Santorum wins Bismarck, and Fargo seems to be a tossup vs. Paul...

Have you got a map?

[argentarius]

I'm projecting ND for Santorum.

[argentarius]

Romney rebounds on intrade back ahead of Santorum

This shows you how useless it is at predicting. They know less than most people on this forum. Nothing much changed with that dump. You'd swear 4 your olds were placing the bets.

[argentarius]

Looks like Mittens will do well in Idaho, perhaps taking all the delegates due to the way they're assigned, if I read erc's guide properly.

[argentarius]

The big thing Ohio does in terms of momentum is it sets the candidate up to win Illinois. I think Santorum is now firmly in that position, and until April 24th (that's the NE vote day right?) Romney could find it very tough going.

[argentarius]

In other news, Idaho is going huge for Romney (70+), Paul a very distant 2nd.

I'm guessing that's because the SE is very mormon.

[argentarius]

Well not all that much has changed today, no one will really gain momentum and even if Romney does I don't think it'd be enough for Kansas, MS and AL.

[argentarius]

So basically Ron Paul's last hope at this point is a freak Hawaii victory...

He should have a shot at Montana, theoretically.

He could troll one of the tiny pacific caucuses, he has a chance in Montana (apparently that's one where the GOP would have no problem at all with changing the results though) if they're all still in by the time it comes around. In this case Nebraska could also be in play. But realistically, as for getting a win in 2012, it's over for Paul. He's been very unlucky not to win at least one state. Hopefully he can get enough delegates to force a brokered convention.