California voters would definitely repeal Prop. 8

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They now support gay marriage by margins that overwhelm the Bradley effect.

True, Field polled 51-42 support in 2008 when Prop. 8 passed by 5 points. But they just polled 59-34 support. Gay marriage will be a settled issue in California once the electorate votes.

There is an initiative in the signature gathering stage to be on the November ballot, I don't know how active it is.

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The pro-Prop 8 ads were totally full of lies, but in American politics, lies work. I remember one that said gay marriage would be mandatory. That's right, if you didn't pass Prop. 8, you'd be forced into a gay marriage. Some of Romney's money went to the Prop. 8 campaign.