AL-Rasmussen: Gingrich/Santorum/Romney fight for the win

[Tender Branson]

Alabama GOP Primary: Gingrich 30%, Santorum 29%, Romney 28%, Paul 7%

1% prefers some other candidate, and 6% remain undecided.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/alabama/election_2012_alabama_gop_primary

[big bad fab]

At last, a more rational result here.

But another impossible prediction

[Tender Branson]

This looks mostly correct, Romney is probably polling slightly too high.

Romney won't get more than 25% and Paul will not get more than 7%. Either Gingrich or Santorum will win this, with between 35% and 40%.

[Wisconsin+17]

Terrible news for Newt.

[Miles]

This would be an easy Santorum win if Gingrich had dropped out....

[Keystone Phil]

Comfortable Kansas win headlines should be enough for Rick to get the victory here.

[Eraserhead]

So Romney actually has a chance to win here? Disturbing.

[Wisconsin+17]

If it were Newt at 40 in MS and AL, I could see him continuing on. But conflicting polls show that MS and AL are now tossup, not lean Newt.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012R/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=120120308016

[Likely Voter]

If the two Ras polls are right, then Romney should pull back on AL and pour it on in MS.

The worst case scenario for Rick is Newt winning one state and Romney winning the other (along with HI).  This would crush any KS momentum and keep Newt in the race until at least LA, which means that the conservative vote will still be split in the MO caucus and IL primary.

[J. J.]

I'm not sure the KS momentum will be too strong, at least in terms in of delegates.  Santorum will probably come in first, but I don't know the delegate lead he'll get.