March 10 Kansas + miscellaneous islands primary/caucus **results thread**

[Torie]

[Lief 🗽]

I assume Gingrich's relative strength in western Kansas can be attributed to the fact that they likely do not have the internet there and still think he's the anti-Romney flavor of the month.

[Minnesota Mike]

Assuming nobody but Santorum gets over 50% the rounding rules for delegates make the difference between 3rd and 4th worth a couple of delegates. (Start with the highest vote getter and round up their share of the At Large delegates to next whole number, then the next highest vote getter etc until all 25 At Large delegates are allocated).

[retromike22]

I assume Gingrich's relative strength in western Kansas can be attributed to the fact that they likely do not have the internet there and still think he's the anti-Romney flavor of the month.

It could be 1994 there and they're thinking the caucus is to determine who will be the Republican leader of the House.

[Eraserhead]

Another terrible performance by Ron Paul. He is barely improving upon his '08 numbers.

[memphis]

I must be a supergenius to call this one yesterday.

If you want to play that game, I'll go ahead and call DC for the Dems for 2012, 2016, and 2020.

[RI]

Topeka just came in:

Santorum 50%
Romney 24%
Paul 15%
Gingrich 11%

[Torie]

Yes, Mittens will need to rock in Johnson County to crawl up over 20%.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

I like the Clark County results:

Santorum 21
Gingrich 15
Romney 9
Paul 2
Perry 2

At least Paul isn't losing to Perry there.

[Wisconsin+17]

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Sarcasm > you.

[Niemeyerite]

Perry will take 5th place!!!

[RI]

Johnson County just came in:

Santorum 47%
Romney 30%
Gingrich/Paul 11%

Romney over 20% now.

[Lief 🗽]

NOOOOOOOO

[Mr. Morden]

Polls close in the Virgin Islands in about 40 minutes.  Not clear how long after that before we have results.

[Lief 🗽]

At least I still have my 2 points.

[Lief 🗽]

And it looks like Santorum wins all 4 districts then, right?

[RI]

And it looks like Santorum wins all 4 districts then, right?

Yeah

[argentarius]

FFS Romney shutting out Paul and Gingrich. How many people live in those other counties around KC? And why do all the counties that report have substantial numbers but many counties don't even vote? Do they just merge counties for the day?

[RI]

Romney's only at 20.9%. Could still fall below 20% potentially.

[Lief 🗽]

I think there's a decent chance of that. Not really any great counties left for him.

[Minnesota Mike]

If Romney holds 20% we are looking 33 Del for Santorum, 7 for Romney.

[Torie]

33 delegates to Rick, 7 for Mittens, assuming a 51% to 21.5% margin  (Mittens should creep ahead a bit more when Wyandotte and Douglas counties come in).  Rick got 6 more delegates than I had assumed (with Mittens underperforming my guess by a mere 14.5% or so, but hey I was right on for the Rick percentage!  ). Congratulations Phil!

[Erc]

If you consider Gingrich as "anti-Romney," it's a better result for Romney anyway.

[ajb]

For once, it looks like Santorum is winning an optimal number of delegates for his total vote.

[RI]

What's with southeast Kansas not holding caucuses?