The Battle Continues, But The Numbers Have Been Crunched...

[J. J.]

Folks, Romney won more delegates yesterday than anybody else thanks to big wins in Hawaii and American Samoa. Like Obama (and unlike Hillary) four years ago, Team Romney knows that this is about delegates. And the Romney lead in delegates is insurmountable unless Santorum wins most everywhere from here on out, including New Jersey and Utah. Not just that, Santorum would need to crush, not just beat, Romney in places like Connecticut and Rhode Island (Home of the Winfield).

Folks, this game is over. Santorum is like a team trying to comeback from a 48-24 deficit in the third quarter of a football game. Yeah, you got off to a 3-0 start, but you're down 48-24 now. A comeback is not going to happen...

Looking at the D Primary in 2008, I think it is very premature to call it a game.  Romney, like Obama in 2008, ran up some huge delegate scores in the early primaries.  In March 2008, Obama basically broke even, with a net gain of 7 delegates (about 3-4 in proportion of total delegates).  Then in April, Hilary started to close the gap.

Santorum has a good shot at closing the gap in IL and an outside chance in PR.  If something comes out of MO, that could do it. 

[J. J.]

Uh... the D primary in 2008 was over by the end of February. Obama had a large enough delegate lead after winning everything by huge margins that month that it was impossible for Clinton to come back. Of course the fact that the D primary was very proportional while Republican primary states are generally either WTA or give a large bonus to the winner makes the comparison pretty useless.

Yes, and Obama was ultimately the nominee, but there was a sizable Hillary comeback.  I think there could be a Santorum "comeback."

[J. J.]

Milhouse24- Santorum meets those standards

As, obviously, did Joe Biden. Well, not that DE itself was a swing state, but he was there to appeal to exactly that demographic in places like PA and OH.

I doubt if the heard of him in OH, prior to the nomination.  Certainly, in eastern PA, he had years worth of media.