The Battle Continues, But The Numbers Have Been Crunched...

[Mr. Morden]

California is mostly WTA by CD, not WTA statewide.  There's a smaller number of at-large delegates that go to the statewide winner.  Same with Wisconsin and Maryland, and probably a few others that I'm not thinking of at the moment.

[Mr. Morden]

California is mostly WTA by CD, not WTA statewide.

It's practically WTA statewide when you win most every CD

And obviously, if Romney wins most every CD, he'll be the nominee.  I'll defer to the voters of California as to whether they want to do that rather than pre-judge the outcome three months in advance. 

[Mr. Morden]

Romney's got this, especially if the unpledged delegates have to decide it.

CNN's currently projecting Romney's delegate count at 489 (459 P, 30 U). As Politico said, Romney will no doubt carry CA, NJ & UT, amassing a total of 262 delegates.

Your math doesn't work here, as California isn't winner take all statewide.  It's WTA by congressional district.  You think there's "no doubt" that Romney wins every single CD?

[Mr. Morden]

That being said Romney does have an advantage. He will likely win every CD in the Bay Area (maybe a surprise in the east bay but likely it will just be closer than the rest) and most in LA county where there aren't many Republicans.

What are the registration requirements for that primary?  If Dems wanted to mess with the GOP primary, could they Operation Hilarity a few delegates towards Santorum?  Presumably it wouldn't take many voters to do so.

[Mr. Morden]

That being said Romney does have an advantage. He will likely win every CD in the Bay Area (maybe a surprise in the east bay but likely it will just be closer than the rest) and most in LA county where there aren't many Republicans.

What are the registration requirements for that primary?  If Dems wanted to mess with the GOP primary, could they Operation Hilarity a few delegates towards Santorum?  Presumably it wouldn't take many voters to do so.

Only Republicans get to vote, not even Independents.

But how does party registration work in California?  Can you just show up at the polls and say "I'm a Republican", or do you have to fill out a registration card weeks/months in advance?