MS PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Gingrich with slight lead

[Tender Branson]

There's a non-Nazi wing of the FPÖ?

Yeah, the protest voters.

You can consider the 15% who voted for Presidential candidate Barbara Rosenkranz in 2010 as the "Nazi wing".

The other 10-15% (the FPÖ currently polls between 25-30%) are protest voters who hate the coalition and would never vote for the Greens either. People like my parents for example.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

29% think interracial marriage should be illegal.

This country scares me sometimes.

[Politico]

We all know what some folks in Mississippi and Alabama are like. But I don't think folks from Italy and Austria, or most anywhere, should be looking down on folks from Missisippi and Alabama, IMHO. Every state has its black mark, I suppose.

[Meeker]

I would be interested to see the interracial marriage poll in a state outside the Deep South; somewhere like California or Massachusetts. PPP only seems to ask that question in the Deep South.

[The Mikado]

Gingrich leads early voters 38-29-20 (G-R-S). 52% think Obama is a Muslim, 12% Christian, 36% Unsure. 66% do not believe in evolution. 29% think interracial marriage should be illegal.

Why does such a state even exist?

There's a pretty old running joke (probably 50 years old now) that any time a state ranks 49th in the country in something, some local politician sarcastically says that the state should change its motto to "Thank God for Mississippi."  Mississippi's proud tradition in being last in the country in everything makes everywhere else look good by comparison.

[Oakvale]

At least Gingrich winning AL and MS will nominally keep this race going even though Romney's got it wrapped up. I'll take what I can get.

THANK YOU BASED GOD.

[Adam Griffin]

I saw the polls for the Super Tuesday southern states back in 2008. Besides Insider Advantage all the other outfits (including PPP) screwed them pretty badly. I remember they were showing McCain winning comfortably Georgia and Alabama when in reality he lost them to Huckabee.
Can someone explain to me why the Deep South is so difficult to poll?

I would chalk it up to a more fickle mindset when it comes to voters from this area, many of whom change their minds while in the voting booth. There's a divide between how conservatives and progressives pick their candidates and stances; conservatives have a greater tendency to "feel" what they know and their gut may change its mind several times throughout the course of a Republican primary.

I think that the overall trend ("feeling" your way through the process) among conservatives originates from the Deep South's style of choosing candidates and politicians and since the Republican Party's platform is essentially steeped in Deep South politics, it has - to a lesser extent - proliferated the entire conservative dialog.

[Volrath50]

Gingrich leads early voters 38-29-20 (G-R-S). 52% think Obama is a Muslim, 12% Christian, 36% Unsure. 66% do not believe in evolution. 29% think interracial marriage should be illegal.

Why does such a state even exist?

There's a pretty old running joke (probably 50 years old now) that any time a state ranks 49th in the country in something, some local politician sarcastically says that the state should change its motto to "Thank God for Mississippi."  Mississippi's proud tradition in being last in the country in everything makes everywhere else look good by comparison.

Hey, they are #1 in plenty of measures too! Like teen pregnancies and obesity!

[ajb]

Gingrich leads early voters 38-29-20 (G-R-S). 52% think Obama is a Muslim, 12% Christian, 36% Unsure. 66% do not believe in evolution. 29% think interracial marriage should be illegal.

Why does such a state even exist?

There's a pretty old running joke (probably 50 years old now) that any time a state ranks 49th in the country in something, some local politician sarcastically says that the state should change its motto to "Thank God for Mississippi."  Mississippi's proud tradition in being last in the country in everything makes everywhere else look good by comparison.

Hey, they are #1 in plenty of measures too! Like teen pregnancies and obesity!

It's only seventh for divorce, mind you. Oklahoma, Arkansas, Alaska, Alabama and Kentucky are the top five there.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Ironically/hilariously, PPP just tweeted the sample size.

And the polls have been updated.

But you never included the poll question.  So, like I said, wait for the full release to come out.

[Sam Spade]

I saw the polls for the Super Tuesday southern states back in 2008. Besides Insider Advantage all the other outfits (including PPP) screwed them pretty badly. I remember they were showing McCain winning comfortably Georgia and Alabama when in reality he lost them to Huckabee.
Can someone explain to me why the Deep South is so difficult to poll?

No party registration is the most likely culprit, in that a lot of rural voters still identify as Dems, and might get knocked out of the sample.

That being said, Huckabee was from the South, Newt is, and Santorum isn't.  In case we haven't forgotten.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I will laugh so hard if he becomes the ABR again.

[Colbert]

Gingrich leads early voters 38-29-20 (G-R-S). 52% think Obama is a Muslim, 12% Christian, 36% Unsure. 66% do not believe in evolution. 29% think interracial marriage should be illegal.

Why does such a state even exist?

There's a pretty old running joke (probably 50 years old now) that any time a state ranks 49th in the country in something, some local politician sarcastically says that the state should change its motto to "Thank God for Mississippi."  Mississippi's proud tradition in being last in the country in everything makes everywhere else look good by comparison.

even Detroit ?


(ok, detroit's not a state, but...)

[Bacon King]

full release: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_SouthernSwing_312.pdf
(MS starts on page 33)

[Bacon King]

full release: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_SouthernSwing_312.pdf
(MS starts on page 33)

Notes:
-Men are more likely than women to believe Obama is a Christian, that evolution is real, and that interracial marriage should be legal.
-Santorum 40% among 18-45 year old voters, but polls in 3rd among older voters
-Gingrich winning, Romney in 4th place among "very liberal voters", lol
-Tea Parties more likely to believe in evolution?
-Romney has better favorability among evangelicals than non-evangelicals?