March 13 Results

[Bacon King]

Downplaying expectations in MS & AL seems like the rational thing for Santorum's campaign to do no matter where they're at in the polls.

Agreed. If the says he's not going to win ahead of time, it doesn't get spun into an "UNEXPECTED LOSS" or anything if he loses, and if he wins then they can announce it as a "SURPRISE VICTORY." It also probably helps to set up a narrative of "Romney won because Gingrich splits the anti-Romney vote, he should drop out of the race now" if that's the path Santorum's people want to take (or, alternatively, "we managed to win these two states that are on Gingrich's home turf, he should drop out of the race now").

[Bacon King]

Romney up 7 vs Santorum in AL and 9 vs Gingrich in MS.

32/25/23
33/24/22

Terrible numbers.

Drudge is being misleading. Those are numbers from his crappy online poll, extracted to be only MS/AL voters.

Lmao, is that what that is? I was about to say, either those numbers or completely bogus or Ron Paul is somehow pulling 20% in both states.

[Bacon King]

Can someone explain to me why a hack like Drudge is still relevant?

Drudge is still a little bit relevant in setting the narrative; a lot of news media types still frequently check his site in the hopes that they'll be the first to see the next Lewinsky-type scandal.

[Bacon King]

TILT the Alabama primary ballot is complicated as [Inks]

http://www.sos.state.al.us/downloads/election/2012/primary/sampleballots/Autauga-Rep-2012-Sample.pdf

[Bacon King]

They just showed "men" in AL

34 Gingrich
30 Santorum
29 Romney

Gingrich also won men in Okalahoma. I guess it's bad for him that women are allowed to vote.

Just a reminder: Romney usually polls the same among men and women; Santorum does better with women while Gingrich and Paul do better with men.

[Bacon King]

where's the chat for tonight? Is it #atlasforums?

No s at the end, but that's the chat, yeah.

[Bacon King]

Well, I'm back after a while away from the computer.

1. Romney has some egg on his face tonight; outspending his opponents by a wide margin, leading in the polls, but still coming in third in both states.
2. Santorum Surge Mark III, commence!

[Bacon King]

Hawaii closing now? I stayed up this late for Hawaii, it better not take forever to report D:

[Bacon King]

the question on everyone's mind: Will Mitt Romney get that 808 bump?

Or, can Ron Paul finally win somewhere?

(No.)

[Bacon King]

LOLOLOL at each of the last four posts in this thread.

[Bacon King]

HAWAIIAN GODS BLESS YOU, DANNY DE GRACIA

[Bacon King]

As beloved Hawaiian political scientist Danny de Gracia explains in this fascinating Washington Times editorial, Hawaiians revere elders (or kupuna), so if Ron Paul does poorly here it will be a profound disappointment.

Oh wow, he's also an ordained minister!

[Bacon King]

So Paul will probably only get 3 delegates. If only he had spent 48 hours in the islands meeting with and gaining the favor of local tribal chieftains, as Danny de Gracia suggested.

Don't forget personally signwaving on the streets.

edit: and it's THE REVEREND Danny de Gracia

[Bacon King]

17% reporting

Romney 31% (-2)
Santorum 28% (nc)
Paul 26% (+3)
Gingrich 15% (-1)

Still waiting on Mormonia.  (Man, I'm going to look like an ass in the unlikely event that doesn't happen.)

Rev. Danny de Gracia promised us that the Mormons were lined up for miles to caucus, Alcon. Why would you doubt him!?

[Bacon King]

Danny de Gracia II  ‏  @DannysKorner

None of the big precincts have come in yet so hang on to your butts #808caucus #Hawaii #GOP

[Bacon King]

Oh sure, Santorum had surprising wins in MS and AL and is doing much better than expected in HI, but a few dozen people at some restaurant in the American Samoa didn't like him one bit.

To be fair, when you count the superdelegates among them, those dudes at the Samoan restaurant have almost as much say at the convention as the entire state of New Hampshire.