March 13 Results (user search)
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Author Topic: March 13 Results  (Read 32720 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
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« on: March 13, 2012, 12:59:18 PM »

I'll be on an airplane from 6pm to 10pm, unfortunately. Hopefully Gingrich (or Santorum!) wins these when I've landed.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2012, 05:37:18 PM »

Terrific news as I board the plane!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2012, 05:47:10 PM »

Guys I think I have a row entirely to myself!!!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2012, 05:52:15 PM »

Well the plane leaves in 13 minutes so hopefully I get to see exits before I turn my phone off
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #4 on: March 13, 2012, 08:55:09 PM »

Plane just landed, who won?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #5 on: March 13, 2012, 09:01:46 PM »

So the polls were a massive failure and Mitt's southern ceiling is still 28% basically. Good to know!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #6 on: March 13, 2012, 09:53:17 PM »

A terrific night! Should have stuck by my Santorum guns though, could have won 4 points.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #7 on: March 13, 2012, 10:50:59 PM »

Does someone who knows MS/AL demographics want to explain these county maps?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #8 on: March 13, 2012, 11:52:22 PM »

The lead from Reuters:

Republican Rick Santorum won a pair of crucial Deep South primaries on Tuesday, staking a claim to leadership of the party's conservative wing and dealing a severe setback to presidential rival Newt Gingrich.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/14/us-usa-campaign-idUSTRE8230GE20120314

I don't write for Reuters either.

So nothing at all like what you predicted. Cool.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #9 on: March 14, 2012, 12:54:18 AM »

Wow. Approximately 8 actual voters per delegate. What a goddamn joke.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #10 on: March 14, 2012, 01:37:53 AM »

Oh. Well if Romney is going to win then at least get above 50% so my prediction is correct plz.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #11 on: March 14, 2012, 01:45:04 AM »

LOLJJ

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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #12 on: March 14, 2012, 01:47:39 AM »

Guys I think the turnout here might end up being lower than in Maine...
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #13 on: March 14, 2012, 01:49:56 AM »


hahahah awesome
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #14 on: March 14, 2012, 01:52:18 AM »

Sad
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #15 on: March 14, 2012, 01:56:56 AM »

F[inks], I hope we don't have to wait for the results of the leper caucus to be brought to the Command Center by mule. Sad
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #16 on: March 14, 2012, 02:02:36 AM »


I am not sure the lepers have a bar and grill to caucus in.  Which, when you think about, is one of the greatest failures of this administration.

No caucus was held in Kalawao County, which will surely be a blow to Paul's chances in the state.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #17 on: March 14, 2012, 02:12:18 AM »

So because the Republican delegate process is nonsensical and designed by idiots, the magic number for Romney is 33.3333(etc)% in the congressional districts. If he gets more than a third of the vote, he gets 2 out of 3 delegates in the CD, otherwise only 1 out of 3. So HI-01 is probably Romney 2, Santorum 1 at the moment and HI-02 is R 1, S 1, P 1.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #18 on: March 14, 2012, 02:17:03 AM »

As beloved Hawaiian political scientist Danny de Gracia explains in this fascinating Washington Times editorial, Hawaiians revere elders (or kupuna), so if Ron Paul does poorly here it will be a profound disappointment.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #19 on: March 14, 2012, 02:20:17 AM »

Current delegate estimate is:

Romney: 7
Santorum: 6
Paul: 4
Gingrich: 0
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #20 on: March 14, 2012, 02:22:30 AM »

So Paul will probably only get 3 delegates. If only he had spent 48 hours in the islands meeting with and gaining the favor of local tribal chieftains, as Danny de Gracia suggested.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #21 on: March 14, 2012, 02:26:31 AM »

If these results hold

Santorum: 3 + 4 = 7
Romney: 2 + 4 = 6
Paul: 1 + 3 = 4
Gingrich: 0

I hope these results hold if only so that I can laugh at Torie/JJ.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #22 on: March 14, 2012, 02:33:53 AM »

IF ONLY THE RON PAUL SUPPORTERS HAD WAVED MORE SIGNS
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #23 on: March 14, 2012, 02:35:11 AM »

It's kind of possible that Romney could win Hawaii while losing all the counties and congressional districts.

Of course Alcon's mythical Mormonia is going to ruin all of this, but still.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Posts: 44,942


« Reply #24 on: March 14, 2012, 03:25:13 AM »

Atlas Forum crashes at the most inconvenient times*.

*4 am.
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