March 13 Results

[ajb]

In other early exit poll news, evangelicals and "very conservative" voters are a(n even) bigger share than usual in MS; also high in AL. Around 80% evangelical in both; around 40% "very conservative" in MS.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/behind-the-numbers/post/preliminary-exit-polls-who-is-voting-in-mississippi-and-alabama/2012/03/07/gIQAdxEGAS_blog.html

[ajb]

CNN's putting a bunch of information from the Alabama exit poll. I think it looks good for Santorum. Santorum is winning voters with a college degree, only 1 point behind romney in urban voters, and winning rural voters.

That can't possibly match a Romney win unless there's some serious juju going on here.  You're totally sure that's what they said is happening?

It fits with the data reported earlier about high evangelical and "very conservative" turnout. But lots of people haven't even voted yet, so it's best not to take these announcements too seriously.

[ajb]

They've already reweighted the MS exit polls, without a single vote counted.
Now
Romney 33
Santorum 31
Gingrich 30.

http://us.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/epolls/ms

[ajb]

Gotta be honest... I cannot see Romney winning Mississippi... just seems impossible. I have to think those exits are underestimating Rick.

But Mitt Romney likes grits.

I think the trees are just too darn tall down South.

[ajb]

Yazoo County now 100% in.
Romney 702
Santorum 682
Gingrich 680

That urban vote really came in for Romney.

[ajb]

It doesn't help Romney tonight that his good events (HI and Samoa) will happen while most of the country is asleep.