PA-PPP: Santorum comes closest to beating Obama

[pbrower2a]

Rick Santorum shows with his anomalous performance in Pennsylvania (Romney fares comparatively better against President Obama about everywhere else) that the Favorite Son effect can have some significance in a Presidential race. RS may have been away from Pennsylvania for a long time as a political influence, but six years since a drubbing is a long time in politics. He is the only one with any connection with Pennsylvania, for what that is worth.

The Favorite Son effect is worth about 10%.

 

[pbrower2a]

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This looks more like a 2010 electorate than like a 2008 electorate.