Santorum campaign at its "desperate end." (user search)
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  Santorum campaign at its "desperate end." (search mode)
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Author Topic: Santorum campaign at its "desperate end."  (Read 3261 times)
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
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Posts: 22,402
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Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

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« on: March 13, 2012, 09:45:35 PM »

Mitt Romney will still win the nomination. Rick Santorum will still lose the nomination. Tonight did not change that, it just prolonged the process.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2012, 09:51:01 PM »

Newt really should drop out at this point, unless he secretly wants Romney to win the nomination.
So should Santorum. Santorum can have his moment of glory by winning two southern primaries were a majority of voters think Obama is a Muslim. Romney's moment is going to be when he accepts the GOP nomination in Tampa in a few months.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2012, 10:13:00 PM »

NY and especially CA aren't safe for Romney amid many other losses, and MD, DE, OR, ect. should all be good territory for Santorum despite the conventional wisdom when you consider the GOP electorate in those states. There isn't much left for Romney to win. The only scenario in which Romney can prevail is if Gingrich stays in.
Many of these states are also proportional, and I highly doubt Santorum will blow him out in almost all of the remaining states. This isn't about winning states; it's about winning delegates. Santorum is going to have to do a heckuva lot to get enough delegates.
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tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2012, 10:24:03 PM »

If Romney wins virtually no states for the rest of the primary season there's no way he will be nominated at the convention.
That's not going to happen. Romney will likely win California, New York, Connecticut, New Jersey, Rhode Island, and Utah, at pretty much a minimum. He'll also pick up some more delegates in other state's due to poor organization of Santorum's camp, and will probably win the delegate battle in several of those states.

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