Rank these 12 states from most to least likely for Obama

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Iowa- i dont buy it being close here
Pennsylvania- somehow the GOP would have to change a lot of minds and completely reverse the trend in the Philly 'burbs
Colorado- changing demographics aka Hispanic vote puts this almost out if reach for the GOP
New Hampshire- slight chance of a Romney upset, but its slowly joining the rest of the Northeast
Nevada- like Colorado but not as pronounced
Virginia- like PA, I don't see the GOP reversing the trend around DC, but theres still enough "South" in VA that it goes blue in a GOP win.
Ohio- lots of swing voters in between the 45% or so guaranteed to both candidates.
North Carolina- yup, I'm putting over Florida.  I think the influx of northerners plus the black population make it pretty Obama-friendly
Florida- ya never know, could go either way.
Missouri- pretty close last time, but its becoming solid R
Indiana- they flirted with the Dem, but this state will normalize.
Arizona- its a hell of an Obama landslide if this state flips