MO-Rasmussen: Sen. McCaskill (D) trails by double-digits (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 08:00:28 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 Senatorial Election Polls
  MO-Rasmussen: Sen. McCaskill (D) trails by double-digits (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: MO-Rasmussen: Sen. McCaskill (D) trails by double-digits  (Read 2728 times)
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


« on: March 16, 2012, 11:19:45 AM »

Courtesy of DKE:

Here are Ras's and PPP's final polls during the last Senate cycle.

CT:
PPP: Blumenthal +12
Rasmussen: Blumenthal: +7
Actual result: Blumenthal +12

DE:
PPP: Coons +16
Rasmussen: Coons +11
Actual result: Coons +17

IL:
PPP: Kirk +4
Rasmussen: Kirk +4
Actual result: Kirk +2

IN:
PPP: No poll.
Rasmussen: Coats +21
Actual result: Coats +15

ND:
PPP: No poll.
Rasmussen: Hoeven +47
Actual result: Hoeven +54

WV:
PPP: Manchin +3
Rasmussen: Manchin +4
Actual result: Manchin +11

AR:
PPP: Boozman +23
Rasmussen: Boozman +19
Actual Result: Boozman + 21

CA:
PPP: Boxer +4
Rasmussen: Boxer +3
Actual result: Boxer +10

CO:
PPP: Buck +1
Rasmussen: Buck +4
Actual result: Bennet +2

HI
PPP: No poll.
Rasmussen: Inouye +13
Actual result: Inouye +53

MD:
PPP: Mikulski +22
Rasmussen: Mikulski +18
Actual result: Mikulski +26

NV:
PPP: Angle +1
Rasmussen: Angle +3
Actual result: Reid +5

NY:
PPP: Gillibrand +10
Rasmussen: Gillibrand +21
Actual result: Gillibrand +28

NY:
PPP: Schumer +22
Rasmussen: Schumer +28
Actual result: Schumer +33

OR:
PPP: No poll.
Rasmussen: Wyden +11
Actual result: Wyden +18

VT:
PPP: No poll.
Rasmussen: Leahy +31
Actual result: Leahy +33

PA:
PPP: Toomey +5
Rasmussen: Toomey +4
Actual result: Toomey +2

WA:
PPP: Murray +3
Rasmussen: Murray +2
Actual result: Murray +4

WI:
PPP: Johnson +9
Rasmussen: Johnson +7
Actual result: Johnson +5

FL:
PPP: Rubio +11
Rasmussen: Rubio +20
Actual result: Rubio +19

KS:
PPP: No poll.
Rasmussen: Moran +33
Actual result: Moran +44

KY:
PPP: Paul 15
Rasmussen: Paul +12
Actual result: Paul +12

MO:
PPP: Blunt +5
Rasmussen: Blunt +9
Actual result: Blunt +13

NH:
PPP: Ayotte +15
Rasmussen: Ayotte +15
Actual result: Ayotte +23

OH:
PPP: Portman +18
Rasmussen: Portman +24
Actual result: Portman +18

AL:
PPP: Shelby +18
Rasmussen: Shelby +28
Actual result: Shelby +30

AK:
PPP: Miller +7
Rasmussen: Miller +15
Actual result: Murkowski +4

AZ:
PPP: No poll.
Rasmussen: McCain +20
Actual result: McCain +24

GA:
PPP: No poll.
Rasmussen: Isakson +30
Actual result: Isakson +19

ID:
PPP: No poll.
Rasmussen: Crapo +39
Actual result: Crapo +46

IA:
PPP:Grassley +18
Rasmussen: Grassley +18
Actual result: Grassley +32

LA:
PPP: Vitter +10
Rasmussen: Vitter +21
Actual result: Vitter +19

NC:
PPP: Burr +12
Rasmussen: Burr +14
Actual result: Burr +12

OK:
PPP: No poll.
Rasmussen: Coburn +45
Actual result: Coburn +42

SC:
PPP: DeMint +19
Rasmussen: DeMint +37
Actual result: DeMint +33

UT:
PPP: No poll.
Rasmussen: Lee +33
Actual result: Lee +29


Among races where both polled, Ras was closer on 11, PPP was closer on 11, and they were the same on 3. In the aggregate among these races, Ras was off by 131 points while PPP was off by 156 points.
Logged
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


« Reply #1 on: March 16, 2012, 11:47:03 AM »

I guess you like to cherry pick facts, which is your perogative of course. It allows you to ignore the last PPP polls from states like South Carolina and New York, where they were off twice!

Shrug.
Logged
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


« Reply #2 on: March 16, 2012, 01:07:05 PM »
« Edited: March 16, 2012, 01:14:09 PM by krazen1211 »

Krazen, you also excluded PPP's Oregon poll:

PPP: D+16
Rasmussen: D+11
Actual: D+18

I remember at the beginning of the 2010 cycle Rasmussen had Wyden at 49% and said that he was vulnerable. lol

Also, PPP's last FL poll on 10/31 had Rubio up 17 not by 11 as you posted.



I cut and pasted the  list from a guy at DKE. If you have the same chart for PPP, go ahead and post it for each of the races.

By the way, PPP had Cuomo winning by 15. I am curious as to how 15 makes a pollster very accurate while 14 makes them very far off!
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 14 queries.