Puerto Rico-Republican Primary (user search)
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Author Topic: Puerto Rico-Republican Primary  (Read 11589 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« on: March 17, 2012, 10:55:13 PM »

Santorum seems likes he has an excellent chance of finishing third with his recent gaffes.

Behind who?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #1 on: March 18, 2012, 03:20:47 PM »

First votes:
Romney 52 (87%)
Santorum 7 (12%)
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #2 on: March 18, 2012, 03:24:08 PM »

This could be a massive blowout.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #3 on: March 18, 2012, 03:26:26 PM »

Romney 92 (88%)
Santorum 10 (9%)
Paul 1 (1%)
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #4 on: March 18, 2012, 03:36:59 PM »

Fred Karger has 1 vote so far....Newt Gingrich 0. HAHA.

Where do you see that?
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #5 on: March 18, 2012, 04:44:28 PM »

Karger and Roemer beating Paul so far. lol
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #6 on: March 18, 2012, 04:58:50 PM »

According to Fox, a lot of people are voting for Romney as a proxy for supporting statehood.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #7 on: March 18, 2012, 05:06:33 PM »

According to Fox, a lot of people are voting for Romney as a proxy for supporting statehood.

How so?

They reported that a lot of people think the only way Puerto Rico becomes a state is if Fortuno wins reelection and Romney wins the Presidency.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #8 on: March 18, 2012, 05:11:24 PM »

According to Fox, a lot of people are voting for Romney as a proxy for supporting statehood.

How so?

They reported that a lot of people think the only way Puerto Rico becomes a state is if Fortuno wins reelection and Romney wins the Presidency.

Why would only Romney allow PR to become a state?

Not sure, but I think Romney's the only one who has come out in favor of statehood so far. Fortuno's machine is also pretty strong in PR.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #9 on: March 18, 2012, 05:14:58 PM »

Gingrich suddenly surged from 1% to 4%. Woot.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #10 on: March 18, 2012, 05:51:35 PM »

Romney seems to be stronger on the west side of the island than the east.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #11 on: March 18, 2012, 06:01:19 PM »

Romney only has 59% in San Juan.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #12 on: March 18, 2012, 06:05:03 PM »
« Edited: March 18, 2012, 06:07:39 PM by realisticidealist »


Looks like 3 precincts of 5. The largest may have already reported though.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #13 on: March 18, 2012, 06:14:15 PM »

Latest update:
Romney 18,328 (83.00%)
Santorum 1,852 (8.39%)
Gingrich 573 (2.59%)
Roemer 394 (1.78%)
Karger 383 (1.73%)
Other 279 (1.26%)
Paul 272 (1.23%)

lol Paul's even losing to other. Roemer seems to have passed Karger now.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #14 on: March 18, 2012, 06:37:15 PM »

From the greenpapers:

Quote
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If Santorum didn't even have delegates on the ballot, wtf was he doing spending several days campaigning there?

Probably just wanted a vacation.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #15 on: March 18, 2012, 06:56:17 PM »

23,531 Romney (83.35%)
2,334 Santorum (8.27%)
670 Gingrich (2.37%)
525 Roemer (1.86%)
461 Karger (1.63%)
360 Other (1.28%)
351 Paul (1.24%)
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #16 on: March 18, 2012, 09:37:25 PM »

Latest:
61,121 Romney (83.07%)
5,645 Santorum (7.67%)
1,800 Other (2.45%)
1,641 Roemer (2.23%)
1,489 Gingrich (2.02%)
1,071 Karger (1.46%)
807 Paul (1.10%)
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #17 on: March 18, 2012, 10:10:15 PM »

52% in, still 83% Romney. 



He might do better here than in Utah.  lol

Romney probably breaks 90% in Utah at this point.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #18 on: March 18, 2012, 11:07:28 PM »


Winfield does that a lot.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,785


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61

« Reply #19 on: March 19, 2012, 10:33:42 AM »
« Edited: March 19, 2012, 10:41:32 AM by realisticidealist »

In fact:

2000: Bush wins with 94%
2008: McCain wins with 90%

If any of us had bothered to look back at the historic results a blowout for the establishment frontrunner should've been obvious.

To the best of my knowledge, there have only been two genuinely competetive presidential primaries/caucuses in the history of Puerto Rico--three if you include 2008 for the Dems, which wasn't that close. The two competetive contests were in 1980 between Carter and Kennedy and in 1988 when Jackson won with >30%. Everything else has been a massive blowout.

2008 Dem: Clinton 68.42%, Obama 31.58%
2008 Rep: McCain 90.38%, Huckabee 4.81%, Paul 4.33%
2000 Rep: Bush 94.21%, McCain 5.29%
1996 Rep: Dole 97.99%
1992 Dem: Clinton 95.86%, Kerrey 1.43%, Brown 1.42%
1988 Dem: Jackson 31.98%, Dukakis 25.78%, Simon 21.01%, Gore 16.53%, Gephardt 3.34%
1984 Dem: Mondale 99.46%, Hart 0.54%
1980 Dem: Carter 51.67%, Kennedy 48.04%
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