MO: Rasmussen: Romney Leads Obama by 9%

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

New Poll: Missouri President by Rasmussen on 2012-03-15

Summary: D: 41%, R: 50%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

*Please note that we split the survey to rotate the order of the candidates, so while half will hear the Republican first, the other half hears the Democrat mentioned first.



1* In thinking about the 2012 presidential election, suppose you had a choice between Republican Mitt Romney and Democrat Barack Obama.  If the election were held today, would you vote for Republican Mitt Romney or Democrat Barack Obama?



A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters in Missouri shows Romney earning 50% to Obama’s 41%. Seven percent (7%) like another candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

 

2* Suppose the Republicans nominate Rick Santorum.  If the 2012 election for president were held today, would you vote for Republican Rick Santorum or Democrat Barack Obama?



If Santorum is the Republican nominee in the race, he picks up 51% of the vote to 42% for the president. Four percent (4%) prefer someone else, and three percent (3%) are undecided.

[Eraserhead]

Doubt it.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Doubt it.

Why?

MO is an uphill climb for Obama. While it may have been a close loss in 2008 it'll be an uphill battle here.

[Eraserhead]

Doubt it.

Why?

MO is an uphill climb for Obama. While it may have been a close loss in 2008 it'll be an uphill battle here.

Obama has a healthy national lead. He's not going to lose MO by nearly double digits while he has that.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Why can't you people let Romney have anything?

[pbrower2a]

Doubt it.

Why?

MO is an uphill climb for Obama. While it may have been a close loss in 2008 it'll be an uphill battle here.

Obama has a healthy national lead. He's not going to lose MO by nearly double digits while he has that.

Rasmussen uses a "likely voters" poll that assumes that previous voting is the strongest determiner of what persons will vote. It seems logical that someone who hasn't missed a Presidential election in sixty years is nearly a sure thing to vote because of a personal proclivity to vote (reasonable until you think of the Grim Reaper removing such people from the electorate) and that someone who has never voted won't vote this time. Of course there are new voters in almost every election.

The younger voters are much more liberal-leaning (and D-voting) than any other group of age-based voters. Remember that the Democrats (and unions) are going to try get every possible voter out to vote. If they find that 20-year-old "Fluffy" is in a D-leaning household then they are going to make some effort to register "Fluffy" to vote until "Fluffy" is shown to be a cat.