Key finding: among voters undecided in the senate race, Obama leads Romney 66-15.
Yeah, there's just no way that I can realistically see Brown winning in November.
How is that? He won just a couple of years ago. And I don't watch this board as closely as lots of people do, but he's been leading every other poll I've seen lately? I'd say he's favored.
Demographics tend to be more accurate than polls, especially this far out.
How is this a question of demographics?
Partisan demographics are demographics too.
Hasn't changed that much since 2009 has it? Or do you mean differences in turnout?
Presumably he's anticipating turnout in certain Democratic areas such as the Merrimack Valley and South Coast to be higher than it was in early 2010, which I think is reasonable.