colorado or pennsylvania

[Person Man]

Lets look at the PVIs in the last for elections, shall we?

CO-

1996- R +4

2000- R+ 4  (mainly due to the massive spoiling caused there)

2004- R +1

2008- D +1

I would say that a D +3 would be a reasonable outcome for CO in 2012.

PA?

1996-  Even Clinton underperformed by a few Tenths of a percent, but so did Dole (Perot got like a percent hight)

2000- D+2

2004- D +3 

2008- D +1


So, I guess Pennsylvania is kinda bouncing around but since the Tea Party won there in 2010 and lost in Colorado, I am going to say that Pennsylvania is probably trending R as fast as Colorado is trending D....perhaps a PVI point a midterm. ...though I doubt Pennsylvania will move past the tipping point. - I would say that PA will be between R+1 and D+1 this year.

I'm saying Pennsylvania. Colorado will be perhaps Obama's 266th EV and Pennsylvania will be Romney's 272nd.