mitt romney's path to victory?

[Sam Spade]

How much does anyone think Mitt's home state advantage is worth in MI?  MI has been pretty consistently more Dem at the national level than PA since the 1980s.

Another question is how much is the Mormon thing worth in NV and AZ?  It is certainly worth something, probably something akin to the black thing in 2008, but since Mormons already turn out at high rates, probably less.

[Sam Spade]

Another question is how much is the Mormon thing worth in NV and AZ?  It is certainly worth something, probably something akin to the black thing in 2008, but since Mormons already turn out at high rates, probably less.

I've heard that the major advantage Romney has with the Mormons is that they can be expected to volunteer en masse for his campaign - they're quite experienced in knocking on doors and evangelizing.

Yes, but are they successful at conversion.