OR PrimR: Survey USA: Romney by 7

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Oregon President by Survey USA on 2012-03-19

Summary:

Romney:	38%
Santorum:	31%
Gingrich:	14%
Paul:	9%
Other:	1%
Undecided:	7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Eraserhead]

I find it amusing that Santorum keeps doing better among women.

[ajb]

Notice also that Romney and Santorum are tied at 34 among white Republicans in OR; Romney's lead comes by winning Hispanics 75-12. And Hispanics are 10% of the Republican sample, which is probably high since they're only 9% of the overall sample.
This might be closer than it looks.

[greenforest32]

Gingrich better not still be in the race in May...

[RI]

Notice also that Romney and Santorum are tied at 34 among white Republicans in OR; Romney's lead comes by winning Hispanics 75-12. And Hispanics are 10% of the Republican sample, which is probably high since they're only 9% of the overall sample.
This might be closer than it looks.

Doesn't SUSA have notoriously unreliable subsamples?

[ajb]

Notice also that Romney and Santorum are tied at 34 among white Republicans in OR; Romney's lead comes by winning Hispanics 75-12. And Hispanics are 10% of the Republican sample, which is probably high since they're only 9% of the overall sample.
This might be closer than it looks.

Doesn't SUSA have notoriously unreliable subsamples?

They do... or rather, they release lots of data on very small subsamples, so the odds are high that you'll get some weird data every now and then. The "tied among whites" part of the story has a higher likelihood of being true than the "Romney beats Santorum 6-1 among Oregon Hispanics," or "Hispanics are overrepresented in the OR Republican primary" bits.

[Lincoln Republican]

[Erc]

Oregon is one of those completely proportional states with no threshold, so Gingrich (and Paul, for that matter), would pick up some delegates here without hurting the ABR camp in the process.