A question to Romney supporters

[Torie]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

That assumption is errant - with the possible exception of NH this time, which Mittens is far better positioned to win than the other guys. 

[Torie]

If Romney carries all the states that went for Bush in 2000 AND 2004 (so that doesn't include NM, IA or NH) he ends up with 281, which means he can drop NV or CO and still win

How's he polling with hispanics compared to Bush? Colorado and Nevada aren't all that viable for Mitt.

The problem with the thread is that it only mentions one state.

The short answer is that in order to get from here to 51%, Romney has to (among other things for sure) pull a rabbit out of his hat with Hispanics. He also has to pull a neat trick of winning border hawks while simultaneously winning Hispanics. He did this successfully in Florida and probably NV (sample was too small to be measured in the exit poll). This began to come apart in Arizona against Rick Santorum, who did better amongst hispanics despite being more hawkish on the border. If anyon can walk a tight rope of nuance in this race, it is Romney. He is also the most likely to stumble while doing it thanks to a gaffe and look completely transparent as well.

That is why in a chose election, but for AZ, I assume Mittens will lose all the states with substantial numbers of Hispanics that are otherwise close, with Florida being a special case with the Cubans, and for that matter, a lot of other non-Mexican Hispanics.

[Torie]

With the GOP's lose of New Mexico and NM's related demographics, Mitt Romney's path to 270 involves winning states that haven't voted for a Republican since 1988.

So, what kind've person would vote for Mitt Romney after not voting for H.W. 92, Dole, Bush 00, Bush 04 or John McCain? Why is Mitt Romney a better candidate than those guys?

Because of his opposition, both on electability and fitness grounds. Period. And the only state Romney needs to win that has not gone Pub since 1988 is NH. And Obama 2012 is not Obama 2008, nor Clinton. The end.