Can Romney break 50% in Nevada?

[5280]

McCain only got 42% of the vote in 2008 for NV, could Romney break 50% or even come close in 2012?

[opebo]

What? Of course not.  Look at the polls.

[Yank2133]

What? Of course not.  Look at the polls.

This.

[Lincoln Republican]

Yes we can.

Nevada voters care about jobs too.

[5280]

Yes we can.

Nevada voters care about jobs too.

Maybe, unless people like to sit around all day and expect more hope and change for another 4 years.  Food stamp president isn't helping out much.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Sure they care. But the NV voters that the DNC and their corrupt cartels round up in the cities that are manipulated, apathetic and sometimes non-existant don't. So the Obama machine will win. Could the Obama candidate? Not sure.

[Yank2133]

Off topic, but I am puzzled why Romneybots think he would create jobs......his record says other wise.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Of course he can. Anything can happen, you know. The questions are, will he break 50% (No, probably not at this point) and how does he go about changing that? (Already answered that yesterday).

[NHI]

Yes we can.

Nevada voters care about jobs too.

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

Yes we can.

Nevada voters care about jobs too.

Which is why they will come home for the only candidate who has presided over twenty-four successive months of private-sector job growth.

[Torie]

Sure if Mittens is carrying the nation over Obama by 2%-3%. Then Mittens would probably break 50% of the whole, beating Obama in Nevada by say 50% to 48%. If.

Unless you assume a national percentage break, these individual state breaks may be fun, but hardly revealing of your underlying assumptions.

[5280]

Obama won 55% of the vote in NV, Romney would need a 10% uniform swing in his favor.  That would put Romney at 52% and Obama at 45%.

[DrScholl]

No, even Rasmussen is showing Romney down there.

[President von Cat]

NHI, how could you possibly like that silly quote in your signature?

[Joe Republic]

Not with his pitiful lack of organization in the state, he won't.  Perhaps I should remind you that Obama just opened his sixth campaign HQ in Nevada a few weeks ago.  Romney still has just one, and they don't seem to have been doing very much since the caucuses.

Okay, so he's still campaigning for the nomination.  I get that.  But Obama has quite the headstart.

Oh, and then there's the heavy Dem trend in NV, too.  Probably quite important.