WI PrimR: Rasmussen: Wisconsin = Safe Romney (user search)
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  WI PrimR: Rasmussen: Wisconsin = Safe Romney (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI PrimR: Rasmussen: Wisconsin = Safe Romney  (Read 4564 times)
Torie
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Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,054
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« on: March 23, 2012, 11:42:48 AM »

Wow!
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,054
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #1 on: March 23, 2012, 02:09:23 PM »

I don't think one Romney supporter here expects him to come in first in Louisiana - not one. The Rick/Newt candidate gets the old slave states (exclusive of Delaware and Maryland, and yes, maybe Texas - the Sean Trende demographic regression analysis figure there is 45% Mittens of the 3 party vote - better than Wisconsin at 43%), plus the plains, and Mittens gets most everything else, other than some of those caucus cf's. That's the deal.  Life is good!
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,054
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #2 on: March 23, 2012, 03:02:03 PM »

No one said the Romney supporters expect a win tomorrow. That's not the point. The point is that you can't shout about how this is over and the party is coalescing around your candidate while he gets soundly defeated in a primary made up of voters that represent the national GOP base.

It is over if the demographic model holds (as it has been like a Swiss watch, with Mittens apparently adding a bit of Newt vote as he fades away), but yes, there is no coalescing either, in the sense that Santorum/Newt are holding their demographic as well.
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Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,054
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

« Reply #3 on: March 23, 2012, 03:08:35 PM »

Torie and the rest of Mitt's cheerleaders don't understand that the problem isn't only the fact that there is stiff resistance among conservatives but mainly the fact that he is unable to put away such weak challengers.

Like Josh Marshall said watching Romney trying to beat Santorum and Gingrich is like watching a fisherman struggling to land an one pound fish or a bully trying (and failing) to steal candy from a baby.

Actually, this demographic divide in the party does not surprise me at all, and I am for one am not bothered in the slightest that it is taking time for this demographic model to play out, nor am I particularly worried that this lengthy exercise will have much impact on the general election. We will just have to wait until after say the first debate in the General election and what the polls say then, to assess whether the Mittbots' current serenity just reflects an inability to perceive reality, or whether all this rather anxious chatter from you guys was well ... just noise. In the meantime all of this back and forth speculating about the future is at once redundant and futile, because none of us are going to agree. As Sam Spade would say - patience!
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