Louisiana primary chat
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Author Topic: Louisiana primary chat  (Read 8966 times)
Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #50 on: March 24, 2012, 07:12:24 PM »

Would it appease Romney supporters to know that in 2008 McCain carried Catholics
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #51 on: March 24, 2012, 07:13:46 PM »

Would it appease Romney supporters to know that in 2008 McCain carried Catholics

To be fair, he was riding high on momentum from super Tuesday.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #52 on: March 24, 2012, 07:14:21 PM »

For the record, Louisiana Cathoics do behave, politicially, much more like evangelicals than Catholics elsewhere.
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Torie
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« Reply #53 on: March 24, 2012, 07:15:46 PM »

Would it appease Romney supporters to know that in 2008 McCain carried Catholics

No, because the demographics with McCain were substantially different than Romney's.  Among other things, Romney was his opponent for awhile. Smiley But it is more than that.
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Torie
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« Reply #54 on: March 24, 2012, 07:17:13 PM »

For the record, Louisiana Cathoics do behave, politicially, much more like evangelicals than Catholics elsewhere.

The issue is how much more.  Half way, two thirds of the way, or all of the way?  Smiley
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #55 on: March 24, 2012, 07:22:51 PM »

For the record, Louisiana Cathoics do behave, politicially, much more like evangelicals than Catholics elsewhere.

In her Senate re-election in 2008, Mary Landrieu lost Catholics winning 36% of the white Catholic vote and 28% of the white Protestant vote; with Obama winning, 12% and 11%, respectively

So, yes, politically, more similar than different
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argentarius
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« Reply #56 on: March 24, 2012, 07:25:05 PM »

Why are the counties called parishes instead of counties? Anything to do with the french connections or catholicism?
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RI
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« Reply #57 on: March 24, 2012, 07:29:12 PM »

Why are the counties called parishes instead of counties? Anything to do with the french connections or catholicism?

Both.
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RI
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« Reply #58 on: March 24, 2012, 08:00:28 PM »

CNN calls Louisiana for Santorum.
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Thomas D
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« Reply #59 on: March 24, 2012, 08:01:04 PM »


As does MSNBC.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #60 on: March 24, 2012, 08:01:21 PM »

Exit polls are Santorum 46.5 to Romney 28
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Alcon
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« Reply #61 on: March 24, 2012, 08:01:45 PM »

Exit poll is Santorum +19 (Santorum 47%, Romney 28%, Gingrich 16%)

edit: damn lief
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Torie
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« Reply #62 on: March 24, 2012, 08:02:18 PM »

Well Mittens won the over 200K group. Smiley
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #63 on: March 24, 2012, 08:03:07 PM »

Exit poll is Santorum +19 (Santorum 47%, Romney 28%, Gingrich 16%)

edit: damn lief

Santorum has a slight, slight chance at breaking 50%. Wink
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #64 on: March 24, 2012, 08:03:37 PM »

Santorum would have won 59-36 in a two-person race. Dumps some cold water on Gallup's numbers.
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They put it to a vote and they just kept lying
20RP12
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« Reply #65 on: March 24, 2012, 08:04:02 PM »

Yep, Santorum has this one. Not shocking.
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Torie
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« Reply #66 on: March 24, 2012, 08:04:11 PM »

Exit poll is Santorum +19 (Santorum 47%, Romney 28%, Gingrich 16%)

edit: damn lief

That is clearly below the Trende model for Mittens. It will be interesting to take a look at it.

The 12% for Mittens with the below 50K group must be a record low.

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Alcon
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« Reply #67 on: March 24, 2012, 08:04:20 PM »

Protestant (57%): Santorum +23%
Catholic (37%): Santorum +11%

Born-again (55%): Santorum +33%
Not born-again (45%): Romney +1%

Two-way race:
Santorum 59%
Romney 36%
Wouldn't have voted 4%

Amusingly, a handful of voters would have changed their Romney/Santorum preferences if Gingrich wasn't on the ballot.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #68 on: March 24, 2012, 08:05:39 PM »

Good job, frontrunner.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #69 on: March 24, 2012, 08:06:11 PM »

This is one of the few states in which it's exactly 50/50 between men and women (at least in early exits).  Usually in a GOP primary, men slightly outnumber women.
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Alcon
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« Reply #70 on: March 24, 2012, 08:06:59 PM »

It looks like our first returns will be early voting totals.  So far, Romney leads Iberville Parish and Santorum leads a handful of others.  Even in early voting, Gingrich doesn't appear to be much of a factor.
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RI
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« Reply #71 on: March 24, 2012, 08:07:15 PM »

First votes in already.

Santorum 39%
Romney 30%
Gingrich 22%
Paul 6%
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #72 on: March 24, 2012, 08:07:36 PM »

LOL, another substantial loss for the inevitable frontrunner. Has he been redefeated in Missouri yet?
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #73 on: March 24, 2012, 08:08:16 PM »

>Run JJ.EXE

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlvgcQ2Y8M0
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J. J.
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« Reply #74 on: March 24, 2012, 08:08:28 PM »

Exits look good for Santorum, about 46/28
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