2015 election scenarios for Canada: orange vs. blue

[BlueDog Bimble]

My prediction popular vote wise:

Conservative: 38%
NDP: 35%
Liberal: 15%
BQ: 7%
Green: 3%

Although the NDP are either tying or ahead of the Conservatives in the opinion polls, I think there will be a bit of "shy Tory factor" involved here. Also, although some Grits will switch to the NDP, i would say that many Liberals would rather vote Tory than NDP.