United Ireland? (user search)
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  United Ireland? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Will there be a united Ireland in 2032?
#1
Aint gonna happen
 
#2
Yes - a confederation
 
#3
Yes - a federal republic
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 33

Author Topic: United Ireland?  (Read 6476 times)
True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« on: April 09, 2012, 12:41:17 PM »

The chances of a united independent Ireland twenty years from now are about as good as those of a restored United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland in the same time frame.  Not absolutely impossible, but so improbable as to not be worth worrying about.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2012, 06:39:16 PM »

The chances of a united independent Ireland twenty years from now are about as good as those of a restored United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland in the same time frame.  Not absolutely impossible, but so improbable as to not be worth worrying about.
Well, at restored UK of GB and Ireland is absolutely impossible, so that's a false comparison.
A prerequisite for my question is the possibility of an independent Scotland (chances 30-40% IMO) and the dynamic it would unleash regarding the future of the UK.


A prerequisite for either scenario to happen so soon is (Southern) Ireland rejoining the Commonwealth.  A restored UKGBI would also require not merely the implosion of the Euro Zone, but also of the EU, but if that unlikely scenario were to happen, Ireland rejoining the Commnwealth would have a much better chance of occurring, and reunification with Britain would have an extremely slender chance of happening, albeit with Southern Ireland retaining a devolved government and quite possibly under a different name, such as the Isles of the North Atlantic or the Federated Republic of Ireland and Great Britain.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2012, 12:52:18 PM »

If Scotland were to cut it's ties with England, is there any chance Northern Ireland would rather go with Scotland and would Scotland be willing to take them if they did?
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