THE only margin that now counts: Obama vs. Romney

[pbrower2a]

The departure of Rick Santorum from the race for Republican nominee simplifies things greatly for seeing who leads and who is behind. So here is what we have:

Reddish shades are for a lead by President Obama; bluish shades are for a lead by the relevant Republican campaigner.Mitt Romney.

NEW MEXICO:

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http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/new_mexico/election_2012_new_mexico_president

under 1% white
1-2% shade 20%
3-4% shade 30%
5-7% shade 40%
8-9% shade 60%
10% or greater shade 80%

Obama vs. Romney

[pbrower2a]

Reddish shades are for a lead by President Obama; bluish shades are for a lead by Mitt Romney.

North Carolina Survey Results

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http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NC_041112.pdf

If this is how things look in late October in a state which is about R+5, then you can assume re-election of the President with about a 55-45 split of the popular vote and about 400 electoral votes.

Santorum wasn't doing too badly compared to Romney (1% worse) but I'm not going to show him anymore.  

under 1% white
1-2% shade 20%
3-4% shade 30%
5-7% shade 40%
8-9% shade 60%
10% or greater shade 80%

Obama vs. Romney

[pbrower2a]

Quinnipiac, New Jersey:

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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1736

 released today.
under 1% white
1-2% shade 20%
3-4% shade 30%
5-7% shade 40%
8-9% shade 60%
10% or greater shade 80%

Obama vs. Romney

[pbrower2a]

I now refer you here:

http://electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Apr28.html

This site gives the most up-to-date assessment of the Presidential race based upon the most recent polls. Good polls flood out the bad ones.