Australian Federal Polls (user search)
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Author Topic: Australian Federal Polls  (Read 17993 times)
Knives
solopop
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Posts: 1,460
« on: October 22, 2012, 09:16:52 AM »
Recent polls done by Roy Morgan shows the ALP in the lead...

http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4834/

If accurate, this is amazing.
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Knives
solopop
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***
Posts: 1,460
« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2012, 03:38:27 PM »
Not in Australia where you either have Right-wing Newspoll or Left-wing Niellson...
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Knives
solopop
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,460
« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2012, 03:54:10 AM »
Anyway, once again the Abbott train crashes with his highly offensive comment and attack on Julia Gillard's childless status.

He has 1 month.
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Knives
solopop
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,460
« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2012, 06:06:45 AM »
Quote from: Smid on October 22, 2012, 06:05:51 PM
Quote from: solopop on October 22, 2012, 03:38:27 PM
Not in Australia where you either have Right-wing Newspoll or Left-wing Niellson...

Morgan is consistently about four points to the left of both Newspoll and Neilson. I suspect this is because of his insistence on face-to-face polling ensuring he over-represents urban/suburban voters and under-represents rural voters, where his polling staff would need to drive a kilometre out two from property to property. He predicted Howard would lose in his poll released the night before the 2001 election, and also that Kennett would lose, when he actually won in a landslide. Morgan has a deeply flawed methodology and the only way to credibly observe his polls is if you factor in a shift to the Coalition, like a clock that you know is always give minutes late.

Most predicted this...
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Knives
solopop
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,460
« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2012, 05:33:00 AM »
Gillard will win, she's really turned the tide. She's a very smart woman.
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