A quick analysis of some voting determinants. (user search)
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  A quick analysis of some voting determinants. (search mode)
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Author Topic: A quick analysis of some voting determinants.  (Read 3418 times)
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Hashemite
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« on: April 13, 2012, 05:00:18 PM »

I ran a correlation coefficient for some similar factors in France, vis-a-vis Sarko2007 by canton:

median HH income: 0.27
population density: -0.11
unemployment: -0.28
Retirees: -0.05
Ouvriers: -0.02
CPIS: 0.09
aged 60-74: -0.01
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Hashemite
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Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,409
Colombia


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« Reply #1 on: April 14, 2012, 10:38:43 AM »


Lots of old people in declining left-wing rural regions, such as the Limousin or the rural parts of the SW.

Anyhow, here's another strong correlation:

ouvriers and Le Pen 2007: 0.46
but...
ouvriers and Le Pen 2002: 0.23
ouvriers and FN-EXD 2010: 0.28

Amusingly stark contrast between the FN vote in 2002 and 2007, but not too surprising if you've read into the Sarkozyst OPA on the FN in 2007.
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