2012 Intrade rankings

[Badger]

Obama  75.2%
Romney 24.5%


Obama up to another lifetime high. Romney is at his lowest point of 2012, down to where he was back in November 2011 when Gingrich was surging (for the first time).

For comparison, Todd Akin is priced at 40%

NOW buy Romney (but sell before election day).

[Ty440]

Obama  75.2%
Romney 24.5%


Obama up to another lifetime high. Romney is at his lowest point of 2012, down to where he was back in November 2011 when Gingrich was surging (for the first time).

For comparison, Todd Akin is priced at 40%

NOW buy Romney (but sell before election day).

Do you think Romney has a bounce coming up? Maybe the polls will tighten and he can see 35% again?

[© tweed]

sad that this thread never took off like its predecessors did.

[LiberalJunkie]

President:
Obama 74.6%
Romney 25.4%

Missouri Senate:
McCaskill 67.8%
Akin 40.0%

Massachusetts Senate:
Warren 60.0%
Brown 39.9%

Wisconsin Senate:
Baldwin 74.0%
Thompson 30.0%

Virginia Senate:
Kaine 65.0%
Allen 31.5%

North Dakota Senate:
Berg 65.0%
Heitkamp 39.9%

Arizona Senate:
Flake 70.0%
Carmona 30.0%

Montana Senate:
Tester 68.4%
Rehberg 39.0%

Connecticut Senate:
Murphy: 72.0%
McMahon: 29.3%

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

sad that this thread never took off like its predecessors did.

Their debacle with the Iowa primary probably hurt interest as well as the fact that it isn't the new shiny toy it once was.

[Badger]

Obama  75.2%
Romney 24.5%


Obama up to another lifetime high. Romney is at his lowest point of 2012, down to where he was back in November 2011 when Gingrich was surging (for the first time).

For comparison, Todd Akin is priced at 40%

NOW buy Romney (but sell before election day).

Do you think Romney has a bounce coming up? Maybe the polls will tighten and he can see 35% again?

I don't think he can fall lower. He has to have an OK week somtime, right?

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Tester is overvalued to say the least.

[Likely Voter]

President:
Obama 77.4%
Romney 22.5%

Romney's share price has been cut in half in the last 3 weeks.

[Likely Voter]

President:
Obama 75.0%
Romney 24.9%

It was around 80/20 a couple days ago so Romney is having a sort of pre-debate rally. But he is still trading well below Todd Akin (34.7%)

[Likely Voter]

Romney's rally continues....

President:
Obama 70.3%
Romney 29.8%

Romney is back to where he was a couple of weeks ago, but still well below his summer pre-DNC levels (ranging from 40-45)

[Likely Voter]

The debate gives a 3% bump for Romney

Obama 67.2%
Romney 32.6%

Romney actually was doing better during the debate up to 36. I suspect some Romney buyers are waiting for the polls before they wade back in.

[J. J.]

Winning Individual

Obama 71.8%
Romney 28.2%

Buy Romney. 

See, I told you all to buy.

[Lief 🗽]

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[J. J.]

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Well, it was undervalued.  It might still be, bit I'd wait for tomorrow morning to determine that.

[Phony Moderate]

President:

Obama - 59.0
Romney - 40.1

[tmthforu94]

I tried to set up my Intrade account today to reap the benefits of a Romney surge, but unfortunately you can't use US-issued credit/debit cards, due to federal law. I'm doing a "practice" account though, and have made over 500 dollars.

[muon2]

The debate gives a 3% bump for Romney

Obama 67.2%
Romney 32.6%

Romney actually was doing better during the debate up to 36. I suspect some Romney buyers are waiting for the polls before they wade back in.

This is why Intrade doesn't have the value it used to for political analysis. In its early days, and more importantly during its forerunner the IEM, there was more evidence that the investors were using other signals and had the effect of leading the polls. Now the investors seem to be more poll-driven, so the market follows rather than leads the polls.

[J. J.]

For some reason, Romney is now at 40.6 on Intrade.

[Likely Voter]

Surprised Romney isnt higher. He was in the 40s all summer when he was down 2.

[Lief 🗽]

Yeah, Romney's the very slight favorite at the moment, IMO. Should be something like Romney 55-45.

[Likely Voter]

Romney isnt favorite until he is leading in OH polling, but he should be trading at around 45

[BigSkyBob]

Romney isnt favorite until he is jeading in OH polling, but he should be trading at around 45

Who says he isn't leading in Ohio?

[Lief 🗽]

Romney isnt favorite until he is jeading in OH polling, but he should be trading at around 45

Who says he isn't leading in Ohio?

Polls.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I tried to set up my Intrade account today to reap the benefits of a Romney surge, but unfortunately you can't use US-issued credit/debit cards, due to federal law. I'm doing a "practice" account though, and have made over 500 dollars.

There are certain loopholes, it's not too hard. Just Google it.

[Eraserhead]

Might be time to buy Obama soon.