Which Scenario Is Likely? (user search)

Lambsbread
20RP12
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 38,365

Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Re: Which Scenario Is Likely?

« on: April 13, 2012, 05:18:07 PM »

Scenario 2 is the one that's going to happen.

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Lambsbread
20RP12
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 38,365

Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Re: Which Scenario Is Likely?

« Reply #1 on: April 13, 2012, 06:38:41 PM »

Quote from: Rockefeller on April 13, 2012, 05:45:53 PM

None of these scenarios are "likely".

The most likely, however, is option 3 just because it Option 1 is impossible (Obama winning SC but not MO) and Obama will not win re-election if unemployment jumps to 9.4%.

You're saying it's more likely that all but apocalyptic conditions will occur, causing Romney to win all but four states and a congressional district in Nebraska than it is for Obama to win re-election with 9.4% unemployment?

>Republican logic
>Seems legit

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Lambsbread
20RP12
Atlas Superstar

Posts: 38,365

Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Re: Which Scenario Is Likely?

« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2012, 06:52:52 PM »

Quote from: Ray Goldfield on April 13, 2012, 06:46:21 PM

Option 2 or option 2.5, which basically looks like this.

Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Colorado could go Romney in a "landslide". Possibly Michigan or New Mexico, but I doubt it.

Uh, no.

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