Which Scenario Is Likely? (user search)
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  Which Scenario Is Likely? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which Scenario Is Likely?
#1
Scenario 1		  
#2
Scenario 2		  
#3
Scenario 3		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 37

Author Topic: Which Scenario Is Likely?  (Read 3785 times)
LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« on: April 13, 2012, 10:45:58 PM »
Option 2 with Ohio instead of Indiana.
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LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« Reply #1 on: April 14, 2012, 04:06:52 PM »
Quote from: Cory on April 14, 2012, 03:59:18 PM
Quote from: hopper on April 13, 2012, 06:36:22 PM
Scenario 2 though you flip Ohio to the Dems and Indiana to the Republicans.
Now that I think about it the whole point of this exercise was to see if the moderate Obama victory is likelier with unusual states than the two extreme scenarios. If you are to take these at face-value, option 1 is most likely because in option 3 more states would go Democratic since the base is more enthusiastic about Obama than the GOP.
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