Bill Clinton and North Carolina (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 05:05:45 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Bill Clinton and North Carolina (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Bill Clinton and North Carolina  (Read 5415 times)
Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« on: April 19, 2012, 11:45:10 PM »

Clinton and Gore were "mountain Democrats", hence they won the mountain states in the South but lost the coastal plains. More fascinating to me is how they won Louisiana.

Clinton/Gore win Georgia based on their strength in the southern part of the state. They didn't do so well up in the N Georgia mountains

True, but northern Georgia is sort of an exception, like eastern Tennessee. You see in 1960 and 1968 it was already starting to move towards the Republicans.

Also, Clinton/Gore only won Georgia in 1992, and not 1996, and they only won it by 2 points with 40% of the vote, with Ross Perot taking 13%. The reason being, with the African-American vote (concentrated in the souther part of the state) they had a hard floor, whereas whites split their vote between Bush and Perot. Their subsequent loss in the state proves the victory was an artefact of the Perot effect.

"Proves?" Hardly. Not to mention that the 1992 exit polls refute the notion that Perot's voters would have gone for Bush if Perot hadn't been in the race.
Logged
Nym90
nym90
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,260
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -2.96

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2012, 11:56:50 AM »

The swing from 1992-1996 could still be explained by tobacco, though. Anyone have access to the map of swings in NC from 1992 to 1996...

If you paid for membership, you'd have that map. Smiley It'd probably be the best 28 dollars you'd spend this year.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 12 queries.