PPP-2016: Hillary Clinton vs. Chris Christie is the matchup

[Mr. Morden]

Apologies, but I can't read polls in paragraph form:

Clinton 57%
Biden 14%
Warren 6%
Cuomo 5%
Feingold 3%
Warner 2%
O'Malley 1%
Schweitzer 1%

Christie 21%
Bush 17%
Huckabee 17%
Santorum 12%
Rubio 10%
Ryan 7%
Rand Paul 4%
Jindal 3%

[Mr. Morden]

Btw, while I don't think there were every any primary polls for 2008 conducted this early in the cycle, none of the late 2004 / early 2005 polls had Clinton leading for the 2008 nomination by this much.  Most of them had her somewhere between 30% and 50%:

link

For example, Ipsos Dec. 17-19, 2004:

Clinton 33%
Kerry 19%
Edwards 15%
Clark 11%

If Clinton does run for the 2016 nomination, is there anyone with a hope of matching her in the top tier, like Obama did in 2008?

[Mr. Morden]

Most polls also have HRC's favorability rating among the general electorate as being north of 65%.  I imagine that she'll do quite well in general election polls once those start up.  Which means that there will be a relentless string of "Will she run?" stories in the next few years, no matter how many denials she gives.

If she does run, I wonder if almost all the other Democratic contenders will bow out and wait for next time.  I'd guess she'd get at least one or two major challengers from the left though, a la Bill Bradley in 2000.

Also:

http://www.theonion.com/articles/christie-2016-comes-from-nowhere-to-win-republican,27904/

[Mr. Morden]

If she does run, I wonder if almost all the other Democratic contenders will bow out and wait for next time.  I'd guess she'd get at least one or two major challengers from the left though, a la Bill Bradley in 2000.

Hey, it turns out I was kind of smart back then.