NY-Marist: Obama winning by 22
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Author Topic: NY-Marist: Obama winning by 22  (Read 1015 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 18, 2012, 12:56:35 AM »

57% Obama
35% Romney

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/417-obama-leads-romney-by-22-in-new-york-state
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2012, 12:57:55 AM »

Ok, Obama is safe, Gillibrand is safe, and Romney is safe in the primary.  Thanks.  Do we really need any more NY polls?
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jfern
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2012, 01:03:56 AM »

Ok, Obama is safe, Gillibrand is safe, and Romney is safe in the primary.  Thanks.  Do we really need any more NY polls?

Statewide races in NY always seem overpolled.  Last election, they had to keep checking that Cuomo and Gillibrand had boring landslides. Of course they didn't bother to poll the many actually competitive House races.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2012, 01:07:33 AM »

Perhaps it's because the NYC press has always believed that its own elections are the only ones of interest to anybody.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #4 on: April 18, 2012, 01:11:53 AM »

Also all the colleges/polling agencies are located in NY.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: April 18, 2012, 02:40:33 PM »

The Romney number looks right, Obama's is a little too low.
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The_Texas_Libertarian
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« Reply #6 on: April 18, 2012, 05:09:13 PM »

I wish every state was polled as often as NY.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #7 on: April 18, 2012, 05:30:31 PM »

Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=3620120412008
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #8 on: April 18, 2012, 05:33:05 PM »

Wrong. If Christie is Mitt's running-mate he can make NY a toss-up state, because he's from NJ!
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #9 on: April 18, 2012, 08:28:24 PM »

What can you expect from the state that elected Spitzer and Cuomo?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #10 on: April 18, 2012, 08:40:52 PM »

I am beginning to wonder if the result will be more similar to 2004 then 2008. Romney could do better in wealthy areas like Nassau, Suffolk and Staten Island then maybe even Bush did. Romney's problem is he won't go over very well with the Archie Bunker votes and thus has no chance of getting Obama below 57%-58%. Plus he isn't the type that can run up a 20 point margin upstate, either.
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cinyc
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« Reply #11 on: April 18, 2012, 10:17:45 PM »

Statewide races in NY always seem overpolled.  Last election, they had to keep checking that Cuomo and Gillibrand had boring landslides. Of course they didn't bother to poll the many actually competitive House races.

Nothing is overpolled.  Siena College does a monthly New York poll on various topics.  Including the Presidential race as one of the questions is a no-brainer.  It costs very little to add one question, especially when you're already polling the President's favorables.   Similarly, Marist College polls New York regularly and WABC-TV pays SurveyUSA to poll the state now and again.   And Quinnipiac College from next-door Connecticut pays attention to New York, too.

Don't be hating that we have unis who regularly poll New York.  Be mad that other states don't.
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