Why 2012 is different to 2004 (and why that could mean a Romney win) (user search)
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  Why 2012 is different to 2004 (and why that could mean a Romney win) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why 2012 is different to 2004 (and why that could mean a Romney win)  (Read 4943 times)
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« on: April 18, 2012, 02:36:45 PM »

Very typical that Democrats are missing the forest for the trees.

Poke holes in the details, but the overarching ideas of the original post are pretty valid. Romney is more competitive on the main issue of the day than Kerry was. Bush had better approval ratings than Obama. The Republican electorate is much more likely to come out to dethrone Obama than the younger Democrat electorate was for Bush'04.

I really hope Democrats keep underestimating Mitt Romney. This isn't going to be a blowout for Obama. It will be a close election.

Electoral map says otherwise.

Republicans need stop deluding themselves, unless something major happens Obama is going to win the question is how big the margin is.
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2012, 02:48:26 PM »

Very typical that Democrats are missing the forest for the trees.

Poke holes in the details, but the overarching ideas of the original post are pretty valid. Romney is more competitive on the main issue of the day than Kerry was. Bush had better approval ratings than Obama. The Republican electorate is much more likely to come out to dethrone Obama than the younger Democrat electorate was for Bush'04.

I really hope Democrats keep underestimating Mitt Romney. This isn't going to be a blowout for Obama. It will be a close election.

Electoral map says otherwise.

Republicans need stop deluding themselves, unless something major happens Obama is going to win the question is how big the margin is.

Electoral map says otherwise months before either convention, oh no. Why don't we take a look at the electoral from this point in 2000, and then look at the final result. Did something major happen to make the election a tie?

Obama has 242 safe/lean Dems state already locked up. Lets be real, there are simply too many paths that can lead to an Obama victory, while Mitt has very limited options. Hell, it would be tough for a good campaigner to win with this map.....but a crappy one like Romney.

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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2012, 02:51:52 PM »

Very typical that Democrats are missing the forest for the trees.

Poke holes in the details, but the overarching ideas of the original post are pretty valid. Romney is more competitive on the main issue of the day than Kerry was. Bush had better approval ratings than Obama. The Republican electorate is much more likely to come out to dethrone Obama than the younger Democrat electorate was for Bush'04.

I really hope Democrats keep underestimating Mitt Romney. This isn't going to be a blowout for Obama. It will be a close election.

Electoral map says otherwise.

Republicans need stop deluding themselves, unless something major happens Obama is going to win the question is how big the margin is.

Electoral map says otherwise months before either convention, oh no. Why don't we take a look at the electoral from this point in 2000, and then look at the final result. Did something major happen to make the election a tie?

Obama has 242 safe/lean Dems state already locked up. Lets be real, there are simply too many paths that can lead to an Obama victory, while Mitt has very limited options. Hell, it would be tough for a good campaigner to win with this map.....but a crappy one like Romney.



Alot of the states you probably consider locked up, I don't. This election hasn't started yet, Mitt's message of economic freedom has not yet reached the masses. Let's wait until the ads start at least.

Good luck selling that to the public..........

He is a sucky candiate who
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